---
title: "COIL case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "COIL ($14.25) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 92 items with odds, observed 87.53% over 1,549 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [COIL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil)

# [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · COIL

A case on Key-Drop (OUR SPECIALS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil?window=all)

Price · $14.25

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $12.47 from 92 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.53% · 1,549 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 68.45% ±33.26 135 openings

7 days · 87.21% ±11.37 1,253 openings

30 days · 87.53% ±10.18 1,549 openings

since tracking started · 87.53% ±10.18 1,549 openings

34.5% 68.5% 102.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil?window=24h) | 135 | 68.45% ±33.3 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil?window=7d) | 1,253 | 87.21% ±11.4 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil) | 1,549 | 87.53% ±10.2 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil?window=all) | 1,549 | 87.53% ±10.2 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 92 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,549 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $1,142 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $915 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $509 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,762 | $395 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $326 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,174 | $306 | 1.1% | 3 | 0.7 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $277 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $266 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $244 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $239 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,167 | $222 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $218 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $203 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,149 | $159 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $156 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $146 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $137 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 4,545 | $133 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,545 | $131 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $124 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $123 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) | 1 in 1,316 | $118 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $113 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $111 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,762 | $108 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,351 | $92.17 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 1,266 | $89.57 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.63× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 885 | $85.81 | 0.8% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.71× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 2,222 | $79.93 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 2,128 | $78.25 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 3,448 | $75.88 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 2,273 | $73.72 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,613 | $67.80 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 1,754 | $64.31 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 1,887 | $62.89 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,515 | $59.97 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $58.98 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 270 | $40.27 | 1.2% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 151 | $40.18 | 2.1% | 12 | 10.3 | 1.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $39.35 | 2.2% | 12 | 10.7 | 1.12× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-well-worn) | 1 in 235 | $37.60 | 1.3% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 151 | $35.79 | 1.9% | 11 | 10.3 | 1.07× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 151 | $35.74 | 1.9% | 10 | 10.3 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $35.42 | 3.1% | 12 | 16.9 | 0.71× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $34.71 | 2.8% | 11 | 15.5 | 0.71× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $32.83 | 3.3% | 7 | 19.7 | 0.36× |
| [XM1014 \| Solitude (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-solitude-factory-new) | 1 in 1,351 | $28.87 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $26.29 | 13.0% | 67 | 95.4 | 0.70× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 239 | $24.90 | 0.8% | 4 | 6.5 | 0.62× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-factory-new) | 1 in 85 | $24.36 | 2.3% | 11 | 18.3 | 0.60× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $23.44 | 6.6% | 24 | 54.4 | 0.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 159 | $23.33 | 1.2% | 5 | 9.8 | 0.51× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $20.90 | 2.8% | 28 | 26.2 | 1.07× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $20.76 | 3.2% | 8 | 29.7 | 0.27× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $20.66 | 2.9% | 14 | 26.8 | 0.52× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $20.63 | 3.2% | 16 | 30.1 | 0.53× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $20.29 | 5.2% | 45 | 49.9 | 0.90× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $18.56 | 3.2% | 37 | 33.3 | 1.11× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $14.90 | 2.9% | 26 | 37.3 | 0.70× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $14.48 | 3.0% | 15 | 39.4 | 0.38× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-factory-new) | 1 in 385 | $14.44 | 0.3% | 1 | 4.0 | 0.25× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $13.92 | 1.0% | 14 | 14.3 | 0.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 202 | $13.39 | 0.5% | 10 | 7.7 | 1.31× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82 | $10.78 | 1.1% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 166 | $10.77 | 0.5% | 8 | 9.3 | 0.86× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $10.24 | 1.1% | 19 | 20.5 | 0.93× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $10.19 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 174 | $9.21 | 0.4% | 9 | 8.9 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $7.85 | 0.7% | 11 | 17.0 | 0.65× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-minimal-wear) | 1 in 402 | $7.27 | 0.1% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.26× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $6.76 | 0.7% | 13 | 18.7 | 0.69× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $6.55 | 0.5% | 15 | 14.8 | 1.01× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $6.34 | 0.5% | 9 | 15.6 | 0.58× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 91 | $5.99 | 0.5% | 13 | 16.9 | 0.77× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-factory-new) | 1 in 332 | $5.95 | 0.1% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.29× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 66 | $5.81 | 0.7% | 27 | 23.5 | 1.15× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Factory New) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-factory-new) | 1 in 307 | $5.09 | 0.1% | 1 | 5.0 | 0.20× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $4.68 | 0.9% | 19 | 37.0 | 0.51× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-minimal-wear) | 1 in 187 | $3.95 | 0.2% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.73× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $2.60 | 0.2% | 5 | 16.1 | 0.31× |
| [XM1014 \| Solitude (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-solitude-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $2.37 | 0.2% | 10 | 15.9 | 0.63× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $2.05 | 0.2% | 8 | 19.7 | 0.41× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $1.95 | 0.3% | 19 | 27.7 | 0.68× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $1.56 | 0.3% | 36 | 38.8 | 0.93× |
| [XM1014 \| Solitude (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-solitude-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $1.46 | 0.2% | 23 | 32.9 | 0.70× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $1.43 | 0.3% | 31 | 44.2 | 0.70× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $1.09 | 0.3% | 43 | 50.8 | 0.85× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $1.04 | 0.3% | 39 | 61.1 | 0.64× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.92 | 0.3% | 63 | 73.5 | 0.86× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.92 | 0.3% | 41 | 65.6 | 0.63× |
| [XM1014 \| Solitude (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-solitude-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.65 | 0.4% | 82 | 110.7 | 0.74× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) | 10.1% | $0.57 | 0.5% | 107 | 156.8 | 0.68× |

Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/coil`, 11 Nov, 08:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=coil)

[AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge) [rezende2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/rezende2.0) $14.25 $9.75 0.68x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty) [rezende2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/rezende2.0) $14.25 $23.21 1.63x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) [rezende2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/rezende2.0) $14.25 $6.74 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[G3SG1 | High Seas (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-well-worn) Hidden $14.25 $1.06 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) Hidden $14.25 $0.59 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) Hidden $14.25 $6.74 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) Hidden $14.25 $32.06 2.25x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) Hidden $14.25 $14.56 1.02x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) [rezende2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/rezende2.0) $14.25 $19.48 1.37x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-well-worn) Hidden $14.25 $1.60 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $14.25 | 87.50% | 92 |
| 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $14.25 | 87.53% | 92 |
| 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $14.25 | 87.74% | 92 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $14.25 | 87.92% | 92 |
| 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $14.25 | 87.63% | 92 |
| 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $14.25 | 87.81% | 92 |
| 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $14.25 | 87.82% | 92 |
| 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $14.25 | 87.04% | 92 |
| 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $14.25 | 87.09% | 92 |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $14.25 | 87.44% | 92 |
| 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $14.25 | 87.29% | 92 |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $14.25 | 87.71% | 92 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $14.25 | 87.13% | 92 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $14.25 | 87.16% | 92 |
| 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $14.25 | 87.82% | 92 |
| 3 Nov, 15:54 UTC | $14.25 | 87.11% | 92 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $14.25 | 87.32% | 92 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.25 | 87.90% | 92 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 0.3% covert 1.3% #d32ee6 1.7% epic 0.0% restricted 9.4% classified 27.7% rare 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% red 3.6% Ancient 0.5% pink 12.0% violet 18.1% Legendary 4.0% #8847ff 8.7% Classified 1.1% Mythical 1.3% uncommon 10.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt