--- title: "CORAL BLADE JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CORAL BLADE JOKER ($2,428.24) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 77.14% over 417 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coral-blade-joker rendered: 2026-11-12T03:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [CORAL BLADE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coral-blade-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · CORAL BLADE JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coral-blade-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coral-blade-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coral-blade-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coral-blade-joker?window=all) Price · $2,428.24 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 77.14% · 417 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 334 openings · below min 30 days · 417 openings · below min since tracking started · 417 openings · below min 12.5% 85.0% 157.5% **Small sample.** 417 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coral-blade-joker?window=24h) | 18 | 85.05% ±71.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coral-blade-joker?window=7d) | 334 | 79.38% ±14.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coral-blade-joker) | 417 | 77.14% ±12.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coral-blade-joker?window=all) | 417 | 77.14% ±12.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $2,409 $13.8K 5.73x 2026-11-06 04:17 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $2,409 $13.8K 5.73x 2026-11-04 18:21 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $2,399 $13.7K 5.71x 2026-11-06 04:17 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $2,362 $13.7K 5.78x 2026-11-11 02:35 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $2,362 $13.7K 5.78x 2026-11-11 02:35 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $2,362 $13.7K 5.78x 2026-11-11 02:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $13.6K 5.72x 2026-11-11 04:36 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [heraldito de fresa](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/heraldito%20de%20fresa) $2,373 $13.6K 5.72x 2026-11-09 16:44 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $2,428 $9,878 4.07x 2026-11-03 00:50 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [5hyn](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/5hyn) $2,409 $9,659 4.01x 2026-11-07 10:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=coral-blade-joker) [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $3,621 1.53x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $881 0.37x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $4.47 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC [UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-factory-new) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $4.76 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $9,513 4.01x 2026-11-11 04:38 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $2,210 0.93x 2026-11-11 04:38 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $881 0.37x 2026-11-11 04:37 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $3,050 1.28x 2026-11-11 04:37 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $689 0.29x 2026-11-11 04:36 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $2,373 $13.6K 5.72x 2026-11-11 04:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $13.8K (5.73x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 77.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $77.14 on average: an expected loss of $22.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt