--- title: "CYBER FANG JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CYBER FANG JOKER ($181.35) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.25% over 413 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cyber-fang-joker rendered: 2026-11-12T11:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [CYBER FANG JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cyber-fang-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · CYBER FANG JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cyber-fang-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cyber-fang-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cyber-fang-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cyber-fang-joker?window=all) Price · $181.35 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.25% · 413 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 51 openings · below min 7 days · 391 openings · below min 30 days · 413 openings · below min since tracking started · 413 openings · below min 49.5% 86.3% 123.0% **Small sample.** 413 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cyber-fang-joker?window=24h) | 51 | 86.28% ±36.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cyber-fang-joker?window=7d) | 391 | 90.36% ±18.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cyber-fang-joker) | 413 | 89.25% ±17.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cyber-fang-joker?window=all) | 413 | 89.25% ±17.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $180 $1,387 7.71x 2026-11-03 12:08 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $177 $1,373 7.76x 2026-11-08 19:06 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $177 $1,373 7.76x 2026-11-08 19:06 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [imanXTRA](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/imanXTRA) $177 $1,373 7.76x 2026-11-08 19:06 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [imanXTRA](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/imanXTRA) $177 $1,373 7.76x 2026-11-08 19:06 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $177 $1,373 7.76x 2026-11-08 19:06 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [imanXTRA](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/imanXTRA) $177 $1,367 7.72x 2026-11-08 19:07 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [imanXTRA](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/imanXTRA) $177 $1,367 7.72x 2026-11-08 19:07 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [wam](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/wam) $177 $1,367 7.72x 2026-11-07 11:42 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [wam](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/wam) $177 $1,367 7.72x 2026-11-07 11:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=cyber-fang-joker) [M4A4 | Cyber Security weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security) [LUKARDOツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/LUKARDO%E3%83%84) $176 $24.00 0.14x 2026-11-12 05:33 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [Gustavo JR](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Gustavo%20JR) $176 $236 1.34x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-factory-new) [OlololO\_Pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/OlololO_Pro) $176 $2.14 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [OlololO\_Pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/OlololO_Pro) $176 $640 3.64x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $174 $143 0.82x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-factory-new) [OlololO\_Pro](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/OlololO_Pro) $174 $2.14 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) Hidden $174 $23.74 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $174 $634 3.65x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $174 $172 0.99x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [Glock-18 | AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) Hidden $174 $22.50 0.13x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,387 (7.71x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.25 on average: an expected loss of $10.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt