---
title: "DOUBLE SLASH case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "DOUBLE SLASH ($3.33) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 62 items with odds, observed 86.45% over 10.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/double-slash
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [DOUBLE SLASH](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/double-slash)

# [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · DOUBLE SLASH

A case on Key-Drop (ANIME CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/double-slash?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/double-slash?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/double-slash) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/double-slash?window=all)

Price · $3.33

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $2.91 from 62 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.45% · 10.8K openings, odds method

Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.35% ±12.57 1,164 openings

7 days · 84.89% ±4.62 8,708 openings

30 days · 86.45% ±4.15 10.8K openings

since tracking started · 86.45% ±4.15 10.8K openings

66.0% 79.3% 92.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/double-slash?window=24h) | 1,164 | 79.35% ±12.6 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/double-slash?window=7d) | 8,708 | 84.89% ±4.62 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/double-slash) | 10.8K | 86.45% ±4.15 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/double-slash?window=all) | 10.8K | 86.45% ±4.15 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 62 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.8K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $559 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 14,286 | $499 | 1.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $276 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $264 | 0.9% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.77× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,667 | $53.97 | 1.1% | 5 | 6.5 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $53.18 | 1.1% | 4 | 6.5 | 0.62× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $37.58 | 1.0% | 10 | 8.7 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $30.98 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $23.44 | 1.0% | 13 | 14.1 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $17.55 | 0.2% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.46× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-field-tested) | 1 in 476 | $14.88 | 1.1% | 18 | 22.7 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) | 1 in 1,429 | $12.97 | 0.3% | 9 | 7.6 | 1.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 105 | $10.65 | 3.5% | 68 | 102.8 | 0.66× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $10.60 | 2.5% | 60 | 74.6 | 0.80× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $9.23 | 2.2% | 61 | 75.7 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $8.79 | 4.2% | 94 | 149.3 | 0.63× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $8.56 | 4.3% | 73 | 159.0 | 0.46× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 169 | $7.50 | 1.5% | 48 | 63.8 | 0.75× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-battle-scarred) | 1 in 169 | $7.50 | 1.5% | 28 | 63.8 | 0.44× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 185 | $7.02 | 1.3% | 28 | 58.4 | 0.48× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $6.98 | 4.1% | 179 | 185.0 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $6.90 | 2.3% | 52 | 103.8 | 0.50× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-well-worn) | 1 in 175 | $6.84 | 1.3% | 25 | 61.7 | 0.41× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $6.65 | 2.3% | 71 | 110.3 | 0.64× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) | 1 in 53 | $6.34 | 4.1% | 173 | 203.4 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) | 1 in 147 | $6.25 | 1.5% | 41 | 73.6 | 0.56× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $5.81 | 1.2% | 27 | 63.8 | 0.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 132 | $5.80 | 1.5% | 61 | 82.2 | 0.74× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 357 | $5.56 | 0.5% | 19 | 30.3 | 0.63× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $5.29 | 1.7% | 54 | 98.4 | 0.55× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) | 1 in 68 | $4.77 | 2.4% | 78 | 157.9 | 0.49× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $4.64 | 6.8% | 374 | 463.0 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $4.62 | 2.5% | 124 | 168.7 | 0.73× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $4.60 | 1.4% | 60 | 94.1 | 0.64× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $4.09 | 3.3% | 193 | 252.0 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $3.87 | 1.6% | 103 | 134.1 | 0.77× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $3.76 | 3.5% | 238 | 297.5 | 0.80× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $3.44 | 1.8% | 97 | 168.7 | 0.57× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) | 1 in 95 | $3.26 | 1.2% | 122 | 113.6 | 1.07× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 127 | $2.99 | 0.8% | 63 | 85.5 | 0.74× |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $2.98 | 0.8% | 64 | 86.5 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-well-worn) | 1 in 99 | $2.73 | 0.9% | 69 | 109.3 | 0.63× |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $2.67 | 1.0% | 71 | 113.6 | 0.63× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $2.54 | 0.7% | 53 | 91.9 | 0.58× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $2.33 | 0.9% | 82 | 121.2 | 0.68× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 82 | $2.19 | 0.9% | 92 | 132.0 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $1.99 | 1.1% | 96 | 170.9 | 0.56× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $1.77 | 0.8% | 74 | 139.5 | 0.53× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $1.66 | 0.9% | 104 | 166.6 | 0.62× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $1.56 | 0.9% | 112 | 181.7 | 0.62× |
| [Nova \| Ocular (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $1.48 | 0.7% | 99 | 157.9 | 0.63× |
| [AUG \| Surveillance (Minimal Wear) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-surveillance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $1.00 | 0.9% | 156 | 269.3 | 0.58× |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.94 | 1.3% | 302 | 432.7 | 0.70× |
| [AUG \| Surveillance (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-surveillance-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $0.94 | 0.9% | 201 | 293.1 | 0.69× |
| [MP7 \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $0.92 | 1.7% | 553 | 573.3 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.85 | 1.6% | 593 | 591.7 | 1.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.82 | 1.1% | 272 | 410.0 | 0.66× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.82 | 1.6% | 652 | 600.3 | 1.09× |
| [Nova \| Ocular (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.74 | 1.0% | 284 | 417.5 | 0.68× |
| [Sticker \| Rainbow Route sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rainbow-route) | 1 in 17 | $0.66 | 1.4% | 647 | 655.5 | 0.99× |
| [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $0.63 | 1.3% | 679 | 667.4 | 1.02× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Brake Light (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-brake-light-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $0.60 | 1.3% | 713 | 665.2 | 1.07× |

Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/double-slash`, 11 Nov, 08:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [123](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/123) $3.33 $518 155.5x 2026-11-02 23:32 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [123](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/123) $3.33 $518 155.5x 2026-11-02 23:28 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) [SOMBRACS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SOMBRACS2.ME) $3.33 $287 86.30x 2026-11-08 19:09 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) [SOMBRACS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SOMBRACS2.ME) $3.33 $287 86.30x 2026-11-08 19:08 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $3.33 $287 86.30x 2026-11-08 17:49 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=double-slash)

[AK-47 | Safety Net weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net) [Pièrre Sanchèz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Pi%C3%A8rre%20Sanch%C3%A8z) $3.33 $3.73 1.12x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[Nova | Ocular weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular) [mɅck](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/m%C9%85ck) $3.33 $0.94 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-field-tested) [mɅck](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/m%C9%85ck) $3.33 $0.68 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-field-tested) Hidden $3.33 $0.88 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $3.33 $0.91 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) Hidden $3.33 $4.04 1.21x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) [\*\*༒NARKO༒༒DOSE༒\*\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/**%E0%BC%92NARKO%E0%BC%92%E0%BC%92DOSE%E0%BC%92**-76561199519429448) $3.33 $0.63 0.19x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Tosai weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai) [m0nesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/m0nesy) $3.33 $1.06 0.32x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[AWP | Duality weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality) [\*\*༒NARKO༒༒DOSE༒\*\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/**%E0%BC%92NARKO%E0%BC%92%E0%BC%92DOSE%E0%BC%92**-76561199519429448) $3.33 $3.91 1.17x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) Hidden $3.33 $2.98 0.89x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $3.33 | 87.50% | 62 |
| 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $3.33 | 87.86% | 62 |
| 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $3.33 | 87.25% | 62 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $3.33 | 87.14% | 62 |
| 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $3.33 | 87.69% | 62 |
| 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $3.33 | 87.22% | 62 |
| 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $3.33 | 87.43% | 62 |
| 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $3.33 | 87.49% | 62 |
| 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $3.33 | 87.87% | 62 |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $3.33 | 87.62% | 62 |
| 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $3.33 | 87.41% | 62 |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $3.33 | 87.95% | 62 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $3.33 | 88.25% | 62 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $3.33 | 87.36% | 62 |
| 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $3.33 | 87.49% | 62 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $3.33 | 87.26% | 62 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.33 | 87.63% | 62 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 10.2% covert 0.0% classified 3.3% rare 0.6% red 0.1% Ancient 0.1% pink 15.0% Legendary 1.6% violet 29.7% #8847ff 6.0% #d32ce6 0.6% uncommon 1.0% Classified 0.8% Mythical 8.2% grey 2.5% gray 2.7% blue 17.6% best hit $518 (155.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt