--- title: "EGGSPLOSION JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "EGGSPLOSION JOKER ($16.82) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.03% over 10.6K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/eggsplosion-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T18:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [EGGSPLOSION JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/eggsplosion-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · EGGSPLOSION JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/eggsplosion-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/eggsplosion-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/eggsplosion-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/eggsplosion-joker?window=all) Price · $16.82 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.03% · 10.6K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.47% ±10.18 3,220 openings 7 days · 88.51% ±6.22 8,977 openings 30 days · 88.03% ±5.71 10.6K openings since tracking started · 88.03% ±5.71 10.6K openings 76.5% 87.5% 98.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/eggsplosion-joker?window=24h) | 3,220 | 87.47% ±10.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/eggsplosion-joker?window=7d) | 8,977 | 88.51% ±6.22 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/eggsplosion-joker) | 10.6K | 88.03% ±5.71 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/eggsplosion-joker?window=all) | 10.6K | 88.03% ±5.71 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=eggsplosion-joker) [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) [Kkrupene](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Kkrupene) $15.78 $0.35 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC [M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-field-tested) [Kkrupene](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Kkrupene) $15.78 $0.56 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) [Kkrupene](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Kkrupene) $15.78 $5.95 0.38x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC [AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) [elmelocotones](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/elmelocotones) $15.78 $12.74 0.81x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) [elmelocotones](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/elmelocotones) $15.74 $13.04 0.83x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-field-tested) Hidden $15.74 $0.54 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) Hidden $15.74 $0.32 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) Hidden $15.74 $13.04 0.83x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) [elmelocotones](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/elmelocotones) $15.78 $0.45 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) [elmelocotones](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/elmelocotones) $15.74 $0.45 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.03 on average: an expected loss of $11.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt