--- title: "ENCHANT JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ENCHANT JOKER ($520.94) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 65.59% over 147 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/enchant-joker rendered: 2026-11-12T06:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ENCHANT JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/enchant-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ENCHANT JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/enchant-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/enchant-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/enchant-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/enchant-joker?window=all) Price · $520.94 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 65.59% · 147 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 38 openings · below min 7 days · 140 openings · below min 30 days · 147 openings · below min since tracking started · 147 openings · below min 12.5% 56.5% 100.5% **Small sample.** 147 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/enchant-joker?window=24h) | 38 | 29.70% ±16.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/enchant-joker?window=7d) | 140 | 66.90% ±32.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/enchant-joker) | 147 | 65.59% ±31.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/enchant-joker?window=all) | 147 | 65.59% ±31.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [Train9](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Train9) $521 $6,040 11.60x 2026-11-08 03:10 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $521 $6,040 11.60x 2026-11-08 03:10 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [Train9](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Train9) $523 $6,040 11.55x 2026-11-08 03:10 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $523 $6,040 11.55x 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Train9](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Train9) $523 $1,471 2.81x 2026-11-06 03:13 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Train9](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Train9) $523 $1,471 2.81x 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $521 $1,446 2.78x 2026-11-08 03:10 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $521 $1,446 2.78x 2026-11-08 03:10 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $521 $1,446 2.78x 2026-11-08 03:10 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $518 $1,400 2.70x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=enchant-joker) [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $518 $11.83 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:52 UTC [AWP | Silk Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-minimal-wear) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $518 $395 0.76x 2026-11-12 04:52 UTC [SSG 08 | Blood in the Water weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $518 $132 0.25x 2026-11-12 04:52 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $518 $46.75 0.09x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) Hidden $518 $58.45 0.11x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-minimal-wear) Hidden $518 $10.80 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $518 $56.78 0.11x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) Hidden $518 $94.74 0.18x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [AK-47 | Crossfade (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-well-worn) Hidden $518 $2.51 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $518 $5.66 0.01x 2026-11-12 04:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,040 (11.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 65.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $65.59 on average: an expected loss of $34.41 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt