--- title: "ENERGY JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ENERGY JOKER ($28.60) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.81% over 2,248 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/energy-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T22:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ENERGY JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/energy-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ENERGY JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/energy-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/energy-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/energy-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/energy-joker?window=all) Price · $28.60 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.81% · 2,248 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 628 openings · below min 7 days · 86.36% ±5.03 1,833 openings 30 days · 84.81% ±4.52 2,248 openings since tracking started · 84.81% ±4.52 2,248 openings 69.5% 80.8% 92.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/energy-joker?window=24h) | 628 | 78.30% ±8.22 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/energy-joker?window=7d) | 1,833 | 86.36% ±5.03 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/energy-joker) | 2,248 | 84.81% ±4.52 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/energy-joker?window=all) | 2,248 | 84.81% ±4.52 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=energy-joker) [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) [Gustavo JR](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Gustavo%20JR) $26.55 $6.92 0.26x 2026-11-11 22:31 UTC [AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) [THE K1NG](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/THE%20K1NG) $26.55 $71.02 2.67x 2026-11-11 21:54 UTC [Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-grey-smoke-field-tested) [gustp14](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/gustp14) $26.55 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-grey-smoke-field-tested) [gustp14](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/gustp14) $26.55 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) [gustp14](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/gustp14) $26.55 $6.92 0.26x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) [gustp14](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/gustp14) $26.55 $56.20 2.12x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [gustp14](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/gustp14) $26.55 $5.23 0.20x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-grey-smoke-field-tested) [gustp14](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/gustp14) $26.55 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-grey-smoke-field-tested) [gustp14](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/gustp14) $26.55 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [gustp14](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/gustp14) $26.55 $5.23 0.20x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.81 on average: an expected loss of $15.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt