--- title: "ENGRAVE JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ENGRAVE JOKER ($307.58) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.73% over 361 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/engrave-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T19:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ENGRAVE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/engrave-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ENGRAVE JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/engrave-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/engrave-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/engrave-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/engrave-joker?window=all) Price · $307.58 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.73% · 361 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 140 openings · below min 7 days · 347 openings · below min 30 days · 361 openings · below min since tracking started · 361 openings · below min 70.0% 105.0% 140.0% **Small sample.** 361 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/engrave-joker?window=24h) | 140 | 106.66% ±32.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/engrave-joker?window=7d) | 347 | 90.18% ±17.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/engrave-joker) | 361 | 87.73% ±17.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/engrave-joker?window=all) | 361 | 87.73% ±17.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $301 $2,278 7.57x 2026-11-06 10:19 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $302 $2,272 7.52x 2026-11-06 10:18 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $302 $2,272 7.52x 2026-11-06 10:17 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $301 $2,250 7.48x 2026-11-06 17:30 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $300 $2,246 7.50x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $300 $2,246 7.50x 2026-11-11 06:44 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $293 $2,167 7.40x 2026-11-10 13:15 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $293 $2,167 7.40x 2026-11-10 13:08 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $293 $2,162 7.38x 2026-11-11 06:46 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $293 $2,162 7.38x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=engrave-joker) [P250 | Asiimov weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $300 $13.84 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $291 $2,145 7.37x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $291 $14.28 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [Zeus x27 | Olympus weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $300 $6.07 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) Hidden $291 $35.36 0.12x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC [Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $291 $3.82 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC [★ Karambit | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-field-tested) [OjczymLeny](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/OjczymLeny) $300 $602 2.01x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress) [OjczymLeny](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/OjczymLeny) $300 $128 0.43x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $291 $1,103 3.79x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [Charm | Glitter Bomb charm · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glitter-bomb) Hidden $291 $14.73 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,278 (7.57x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.73 on average: an expected loss of $12.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt