---
title: "FLAMES case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "FLAMES ($0.80) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 69 items with odds, observed 82.04% over 26.2K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flames
rendered: 2026-11-11T12:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [FLAMES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flames)

# [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · FLAMES

A case on Key-Drop (ANIME CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flames?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flames?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flames) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flames?window=all)

Price · $0.80

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $0.70 from 69 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.04% · 26.2K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.42% ±5.91 4,235 openings

7 days · 81.88% ±2.71 21K openings

30 days · 82.04% ±2.43 26.2K openings

since tracking started · 82.04% ±2.43 26.2K openings

77.0% 83.5% 90.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.27% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (79.61% – 84.46%, 26,197 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flames?window=24h) | 4,235 | 83.42% ±5.91 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flames?window=7d) | 21K | 81.88% ±2.71 | −3.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flames) | 26.2K | 82.04% ±2.43 | −4.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flames?window=all) | 26.2K | 82.04% ±2.43 | −4.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 69 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26.2K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $135 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $107 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $50.22 | 1.4% | 1 | 5.2 | 0.19× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $30.50 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $19.53 | 0.6% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.34× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $10.04 | 0.6% | 5 | 10.5 | 0.48× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $8.47 | 0.1% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $5.59 | 0.2% | 2 | 5.2 | 0.38× |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $5.35 | 0.1% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $5.30 | 0.2% | 5 | 5.2 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $5.16 | 0.1% | 1 | 5.2 | 0.19× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $3.49 | 0.1% | 10 | 7.9 | 1.27× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $3.25 | 0.6% | 33 | 36.7 | 0.90× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $3.23 | 0.2% | 6 | 10.5 | 0.57× |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-field-tested) | 1 in 714 | $3.20 | 0.6% | 27 | 36.7 | 0.74× |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $3.10 | 0.2% | 5 | 10.5 | 0.48× |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,500 | $3.00 | 0.2% | 35 | 10.5 | 3.34× |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $2.75 | 8.1% | 436 | 542.4 | 0.80× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 278 | $2.53 | 1.3% | 42 | 94.3 | 0.45× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) | 1 in 179 | $2.45 | 2.0% | 50 | 146.7 | 0.34× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 159 | $2.37 | 2.1% | 91 | 165.1 | 0.55× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $2.36 | 1.3% | 54 | 104.8 | 0.52× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $2.10 | 2.3% | 76 | 199.2 | 0.38× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 278 | $2.05 | 1.1% | 43 | 94.3 | 0.46× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $1.84 | 0.5% | 21 | 52.4 | 0.40× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 1 in 189 | $1.69 | 1.3% | 67 | 138.9 | 0.48× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $1.65 | 0.4% | 31 | 47.2 | 0.66× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $1.61 | 0.9% | 58 | 104.8 | 0.55× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-well-worn) | 1 in 222 | $1.49 | 1.0% | 61 | 117.9 | 0.52× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $1.42 | 1.0% | 48 | 131.0 | 0.37× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-well-worn) | 1 in 192 | $1.40 | 1.0% | 65 | 136.3 | 0.48× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $1.37 | 1.2% | 68 | 154.6 | 0.44× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $1.33 | 1.1% | 69 | 149.4 | 0.46× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 167 | $1.31 | 1.1% | 67 | 157.2 | 0.43× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $1.30 | 3.7% | 431 | 516.2 | 0.83× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 147 | $1.28 | 1.2% | 84 | 178.2 | 0.47× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-well-worn) | 1 in 145 | $1.27 | 1.3% | 86 | 180.8 | 0.48× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) | 1 in 123 | $1.27 | 1.5% | 109 | 212.3 | 0.51× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Downtown (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-downtown-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $1.24 | 3.6% | 488 | 539.8 | 0.90× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $1.13 | 4.4% | 323 | 718.0 | 0.45× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $1.12 | 1.4% | 105 | 225.4 | 0.47× |
| [MAG-7 \| Sonar (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sonar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 88 | $1.10 | 1.8% | 114 | 298.7 | 0.38× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $1.09 | 1.4% | 118 | 243.7 | 0.48× |
| [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $0.98 | 1.2% | 120 | 233.2 | 0.51× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-well-worn) | 1 in 76 | $0.92 | 1.7% | 163 | 343.3 | 0.47× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-well-worn) | 1 in 73 | $0.89 | 1.7% | 180 | 359.0 | 0.50× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.85 | 4.4% | 380 | 946.0 | 0.40× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $0.85 | 3.6% | 363 | 770.4 | 0.47× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $0.78 | 1.9% | 146 | 453.3 | 0.32× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $0.77 | 1.3% | 151 | 314.5 | 0.48× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fragment (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $0.75 | 0.8% | 92 | 199.2 | 0.46× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $0.71 | 1.0% | 139 | 259.4 | 0.54× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-well-worn) | 1 in 91 | $0.66 | 1.0% | 145 | 288.3 | 0.50× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $0.59 | 1.1% | 144 | 338.0 | 0.43× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $0.49 | 3.0% | 1,080 | 1119.0 | 0.97× |
| [MAG-7 \| Sonar (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sonar-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $0.47 | 2.0% | 387 | 796.6 | 0.49× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.44 | 2.8% | 1,189 | 1168.7 | 1.02× |
| [MP5-SD \| Kitbash (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-kitbash-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.44 | 2.8% | 1,147 | 1168.7 | 0.98× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $0.38 | 0.8% | 170 | 380.0 | 0.45× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $0.35 | 0.8% | 201 | 424.5 | 0.47× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-well-worn) | 1 in 54 | $0.32 | 0.8% | 254 | 482.2 | 0.53× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Fragments (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.32 | 2.3% | 1,398 | 1326.0 | 1.05× |
| [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $0.26 | 1.6% | 540 | 1139.9 | 0.47× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fragment (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.20 | 1.4% | 625 | 1263.1 | 0.49× |
| [Galil AR \| O-Ranger (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-o-ranger-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $0.20 | 1.7% | 1,741 | 1601.1 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Wood Fired (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wood-fired-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.20 | 1.7% | 1,754 | 1601.1 | 1.10× |
| [M4A4 \| Steel Work (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $0.17 | 1.6% | 1,845 | 1708.6 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-necro-jr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.14 | 1.3% | 2,029 | 1708.6 | 1.19× |

Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/flames`, 11 Nov, 08:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) Hidden $0.80 $139 174.0x 2026-11-04 00:21 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $0.80 $109 135.8x 2026-11-06 06:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $0.80 $50.22 62.78x 2026-11-10 20:36 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=flames)

[SG 553 | Darkwing weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing) [kekitoelcrackpvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kekitoelcrackpvp) $0.80 $0.70 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-necro-jr-minimal-wear) [kekitoelcrackpvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kekitoelcrackpvp) $0.80 $0.14 0.18x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-kitbash-field-tested) [kekitoelcrackpvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kekitoelcrackpvp) $0.80 $0.44 0.55x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[PP-Bizon | RMX weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx) [kekitoelcrackpvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kekitoelcrackpvp) $0.80 $0.38 0.48x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-necro-jr-minimal-wear) [kekitoelcrackpvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kekitoelcrackpvp) $0.80 $0.14 0.18x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[MP9 | Urban Sovereign weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign) [kekitoelcrackpvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kekitoelcrackpvp) $0.80 $0.96 1.20x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Galil AR | O-Ranger (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-o-ranger-factory-new) [kekitoelcrackpvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kekitoelcrackpvp) $0.80 $0.20 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[PP-Bizon | RMX weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx) [kekitoelcrackpvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kekitoelcrackpvp) $0.80 $0.38 0.48x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-minimal-wear) [kekitoelcrackpvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kekitoelcrackpvp) $0.80 $0.49 0.61x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[USP-S | Bleeding Edge weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge) [kekitoelcrackpvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kekitoelcrackpvp) $0.80 $1.16 1.45x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $0.80 | 87.50% | 69 |
| 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $0.80 | 87.38% | 69 |
| 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $0.80 | 86.67% | 69 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $0.80 | 87.73% | 69 |
| 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $0.80 | 86.96% | 69 |
| 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.80 | 87.49% | 69 |
| 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $0.80 | 86.77% | 69 |
| 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $0.80 | 87.06% | 69 |
| 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $0.80 | 87.19% | 69 |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $0.80 | 88.49% | 69 |
| 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $0.80 | 87.00% | 69 |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $0.80 | 86.94% | 69 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $0.80 | 86.81% | 69 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $0.80 | 87.09% | 69 |
| 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $0.80 | 87.60% | 69 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $0.80 | 88.25% | 69 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.80 | 87.54% | 69 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.1% covert 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% pink 0.1% restricted 8.6% #d32ce6 0.0% Mythical 2.6% #8847ff 1.6% blue 32.9% violet 28.2% Restricted 0.5% Rare 0.8% #4b69ff 7.8% mil spec 4.3% blueLight 12.6% best hit $139 (174.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt