--- title: "GAL GAL case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "GAL GAL ($15.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.88% over 1,754 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gal-gal rendered: 2026-11-12T09:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [GAL GAL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gal-gal) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · GAL GAL A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gal-gal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gal-gal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gal-gal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gal-gal?window=all) Price · $15.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.88% · 1,754 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 414 openings · below min 7 days · 99.65% ±19.35 1,377 openings 30 days · 95.88% ±15.31 1,754 openings since tracking started · 95.88% ±15.31 1,754 openings 71.5% 95.5% 119.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gal-gal?window=24h) | 414 | 93.26% ±21.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gal-gal?window=7d) | 1,377 | 99.65% ±19.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gal-gal) | 1,754 | 95.88% ±15.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gal-gal?window=all) | 1,754 | 95.88% ±15.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.00 $1,661 110.7x 2026-11-06 09:25 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $15.00 $929 61.91x 2026-11-10 03:56 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $15.00 $649 43.28x 2026-11-12 07:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=gal-gal) [MP9 | Latte Rush weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush) [亗4KUMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E4%BA%974KUMA) $15.00 $8.05 0.54x 2026-11-12 08:18 UTC [P250 | Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 $4.50 0.30x 2026-11-12 08:17 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 $4.42 0.29x 2026-11-12 08:17 UTC [MP9 | Latte Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-battle-scarred) [亗4KUMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E4%BA%974KUMA) $15.00 $6.75 0.45x 2026-11-12 08:17 UTC [AWP | Ice Coaled weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled) [Rua](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Rua) $15.00 $9.05 0.60x 2026-11-12 07:58 UTC [P250 | Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) [NOTME](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/NOTME) $15.00 $4.27 0.28x 2026-11-12 07:58 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick) [Rua](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Rua) $15.00 $4.40 0.29x 2026-11-12 07:58 UTC [Glock-18 | AXIA weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia) [NOTME](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/NOTME) $15.00 $23.29 1.55x 2026-11-12 07:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator) [Rua](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Rua) $15.00 $16.61 1.11x 2026-11-12 07:58 UTC [Desert Eagle | Starcade weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade) [NOTME](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/NOTME) $15.00 $34.84 2.32x 2026-11-12 07:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,661 (110.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.88 on average: an expected loss of $4.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt