--- title: "GLOVES JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "GLOVES JOKER ($438.03) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.56% over 153 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gloves-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [GLOVES JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gloves-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · GLOVES JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gloves-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gloves-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gloves-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gloves-joker?window=all) Price · $438.03 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.56% · 153 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 141 openings · below min 30 days · 153 openings · below min since tracking started · 153 openings · below min 30.0% 76.3% 122.5% **Small sample.** 153 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gloves-joker?window=24h) | 6 | 71.16% ±40.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gloves-joker?window=7d) | 141 | 96.53% ±25.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gloves-joker) | 153 | 93.56% ±23.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gloves-joker?window=all) | 153 | 93.56% ±23.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $439 $4,083 9.29x 2026-11-07 08:46 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $439 $4,083 9.29x 2026-11-07 08:46 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $432 $3,924 9.08x 2026-11-04 14:14 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) [AnoN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/AnoN) $439 $2,037 4.64x 2026-11-07 22:13 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) [Sergio Milei](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Sergio%20Milei) $438 $2,001 4.57x 2026-11-06 02:20 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) [Sergio Milei](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Sergio%20Milei) $438 $2,001 4.57x 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) Hidden $440 $1,995 4.54x 2026-11-06 15:36 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) [AnoN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/AnoN) $438 $1,555 3.55x 2026-11-07 22:10 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) Hidden $439 $1,508 3.44x 2026-11-07 22:10 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) Hidden $439 $1,508 3.44x 2026-11-07 22:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=gloves-joker) [★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Battle-Scarred) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-battle-scarred) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $432 $110 0.25x 2026-11-10 21:40 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $432 $551 1.28x 2026-11-10 21:36 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-well-worn) Hidden $427 $116 0.27x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Battle-Scarred) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-battle-scarred) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $427 $110 0.26x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-battle-scarred) Hidden $427 $418 0.98x 2026-11-10 21:30 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $427 $525 1.23x 2026-11-10 21:30 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-well-worn) [lmeeent](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/lmeeent) $432 $140 0.32x 2026-11-09 18:28 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-battle-scarred) [delecoxo](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/delecoxo) $438 $139 0.32x 2026-11-08 09:50 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-field-tested) Hidden $439 $236 0.54x 2026-11-08 09:49 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-well-worn) Hidden $439 $221 0.50x 2026-11-08 09:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,083 (9.29x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.56 on average: an expected loss of $6.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt