--- title: "GOLD VEIN case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "GOLD VEIN ($7.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 75.85% over 778 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gold-vein rendered: 2026-11-12T04:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [GOLD VEIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gold-vein) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · GOLD VEIN A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gold-vein?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gold-vein?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gold-vein) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gold-vein?window=all) Price · $7.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 75.85% · 778 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 146 openings · below min 7 days · 705 openings · below min 30 days · 778 openings · below min since tracking started · 778 openings · below min 62.0% 74.0% 86.0% **Small sample.** 778 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gold-vein?window=24h) | 146 | 73.98% ±11.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gold-vein?window=7d) | 705 | 73.72% ±5.38 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gold-vein) | 778 | 75.85% ±5.21 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gold-vein?window=all) | 778 | 75.85% ±5.21 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=gold-vein) [AWP | Fever Dream weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream) [Pengu](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Pengu) $7.00 $15.30 2.19x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled) [Pengu](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Pengu) $7.00 $6.09 0.87x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $7.00 $4.77 0.68x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) Hidden $7.00 $14.45 2.06x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) Hidden $7.00 $0.57 0.08x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) [Pengu](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Pengu) $7.00 $16.66 2.38x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream) [Pengu](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Pengu) $7.00 $15.30 2.19x 2026-11-12 03:52 UTC [Glock-18 | Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) Hidden $7.00 $1.33 0.19x 2026-11-12 03:52 UTC [AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) Hidden $7.00 $8.80 1.26x 2026-11-12 03:52 UTC [AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) Hidden $7.00 $8.80 1.26x 2026-11-12 03:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.85 on average: an expected loss of $24.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt