--- title: "HYPER JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "HYPER JOKER ($55.79) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.93% over 1,528 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/hyper-2-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [HYPER JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/hyper-2-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · HYPER JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/hyper-2-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/hyper-2-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/hyper-2-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/hyper-2-joker?window=all) Price · $55.79 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.93% · 1,528 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 366 openings · below min 7 days · 80.99% ±10.11 1,218 openings 30 days · 78.93% ±8.82 1,528 openings since tracking started · 78.93% ±8.82 1,528 openings 51.0% 71.5% 92.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/hyper-2-joker?window=24h) | 366 | 69.12% ±17.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/hyper-2-joker?window=7d) | 1,218 | 80.99% ±10.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/hyper-2-joker) | 1,528 | 78.93% ±8.82 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/hyper-2-joker?window=all) | 1,528 | 78.93% ±8.82 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=hyper-2-joker) [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) [Kkrupene](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Kkrupene) $54.93 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) [Kkrupene](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Kkrupene) $54.50 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC [P90 | Wave Breaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-battle-scarred) Hidden $54.50 $0.48 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC [Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-field-tested) Hidden $54.50 $0.44 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC [P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-field-tested) Hidden $54.50 $0.42 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $54.50 $146 2.68x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) Hidden $54.50 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC [Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-field-tested) [Kkrupene](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Kkrupene) $54.93 $0.41 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC [Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-field-tested) [Kkrupene](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Kkrupene) $54.50 $0.44 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC [Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) Hidden $54.50 $0.45 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.93 on average: an expected loss of $21.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt