--- title: "IMMORTAL JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "IMMORTAL JOKER ($833.56) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.42% over 426 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/immortal-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T19:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [IMMORTAL JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/immortal-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · IMMORTAL JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/immortal-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/immortal-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/immortal-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/immortal-joker?window=all) Price · $833.56 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.42% · 426 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 372 openings · below min 30 days · 426 openings · below min since tracking started · 426 openings · below min -0.5% 97.3% 195.0% **Small sample.** 426 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/immortal-joker?window=24h) | 20 | 88.71% ±105.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/immortal-joker?window=7d) | 372 | 88.45% ±26.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/immortal-joker) | 426 | 91.42% ±24.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/immortal-joker?window=all) | 426 | 91.42% ±24.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | HellRaisers | Katowice 2014 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-katowice-2014) [TeNSe^^](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/TeNSe%5E%5E) $829 $10K 12.11x 2026-11-07 14:01 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers | Katowice 2014 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-katowice-2014) [GALLECSGO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/GALLECSGO) $829 $10K 12.11x 2026-11-04 19:17 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) [GALLECSGO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/GALLECSGO) $829 $10K 12.11x 2026-11-04 19:16 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $827 $9,962 12.05x 2026-11-05 21:26 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $827 $9,962 12.05x 2026-11-05 21:26 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $827 $9,962 12.05x 2026-11-05 21:24 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $827 $9,962 12.05x 2026-11-05 21:24 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $827 $9,962 12.05x 2026-11-05 21:24 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $812 $9,588 11.81x 2026-11-07 21:11 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $812 $9,588 11.81x 2026-11-07 13:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=immortal-joker) [Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2015 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-katowice-2015) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $808 $257 0.32x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | London 2018 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-london-2018) Hidden $806 $26.94 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Foil) | Katowice 2015 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-foil-katowice-2015) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $806 $257 0.32x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [Sticker | mousesports | London 2018 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-london-2018) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $808 $26.98 0.03x 2026-11-11 04:46 UTC [Sticker | Copenhagen Wolves | Cologne 2014 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-copenhagen-wolves-cologne-2014) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $808 $50.89 0.06x 2026-11-11 04:46 UTC [Sticker | mousesports | Krakow 2017 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-krakow-2017) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $808 $30.50 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:45 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere | Cologne 2014 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-cologne-2014) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $808 $102 0.13x 2026-11-11 02:16 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Cologne 2014 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-cologne-2014) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $809 $102 0.13x 2026-11-11 02:15 UTC [Sticker | ESL One Cologne 2014 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-one-cologne-2014) Hidden $809 $108 0.13x 2026-11-11 02:15 UTC [Sticker | Lucas sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucas) Hidden $809 $7.97 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $10K (12.11x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.42 on average: an expected loss of $8.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt