---
title: "JAINA case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "JAINA ($50.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 80 items with odds, observed 84.03% over 7,625 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jaina
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [JAINA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jaina)

# [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · JAINA

A case on Key-Drop (HOLO CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jaina?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jaina?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jaina) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jaina?window=all)

Price · $50.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $43.75 from 80 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.03% · 7,625 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.70% ±10.72 1,108 openings

7 days · 85.45% ±4.96 5,415 openings

30 days · 84.03% ±4.15 7,625 openings

since tracking started · 84.03% ±4.15 7,625 openings

72.5% 83.7% 95.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jaina?window=24h) | 1,108 | 83.70% ±10.7 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jaina?window=7d) | 5,415 | 85.45% ±4.96 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jaina) | 7,625 | 84.03% ±4.15 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jaina?window=all) | 7,625 | 84.03% ±4.15 | −1.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 80 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,653 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $5,557 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,046 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,010 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $867 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $609 | 0.4% | 5 | 2.3 | 2.18× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $559 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $542 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $411 | 0.4% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.33× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $366 | 0.4% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.78× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $352 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.31× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · gold · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 1,667 | $283 | 0.4% | 8 | 4.6 | 1.74× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $273 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $209 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $207 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 238 | $172 | 1.7% | 19 | 32.1 | 0.59× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $156 | 5.4% | 93 | 116.3 | 0.80× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 161 | $154 | 2.2% | 32 | 47.4 | 0.67× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 263 | $148 | 1.3% | 16 | 29.1 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $144 | 1.3% | 18 | 30.6 | 0.59× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 227 | $137 | 1.4% | 26 | 33.7 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 208 | $131 | 1.4% | 16 | 36.7 | 0.44× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 101 | $117 | 2.7% | 61 | 75.8 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $115 | 2.7% | 57 | 78.8 | 0.72× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 74 | $104 | 3.2% | 92 | 103.3 | 0.89× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-factory-new) | 1 in 233 | $104 | 1.0% | 25 | 32.9 | 0.76× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $89.33 | 1.2% | 43 | 45.2 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 196 | $88.74 | 1.0% | 51 | 39.0 | 1.31× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 323 | $86.69 | 0.6% | 22 | 23.7 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 213 | $83.03 | 0.9% | 33 | 36.0 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 192 | $82.85 | 1.0% | 33 | 39.8 | 0.83× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $82.41 | 1.3% | 49 | 52.8 | 0.93× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-minimal-wear) | 1 in 159 | $82.37 | 1.2% | 22 | 48.2 | 0.46× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $79.86 | 2.5% | 84 | 104.1 | 0.81× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 127 | $76.89 | 1.4% | 59 | 60.5 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 75 | $71.65 | 2.2% | 40 | 102.6 | 0.39× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $68.49 | 4.3% | 105 | 208.9 | 0.50× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $66.47 | 1.3% | 35 | 65.8 | 0.53× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $58.32 | 2.1% | 65 | 117.9 | 0.55× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $54.81 | 2.0% | 60 | 123.2 | 0.49× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $54.51 | 2.2% | 80 | 135.5 | 0.59× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 75 | $54.19 | 1.7% | 65 | 102.6 | 0.63× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $54.15 | 2.2% | 74 | 137.0 | 0.54× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $53.32 | 2.1% | 80 | 130.1 | 0.61× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $49.30 | 1.7% | 121 | 114.0 | 1.06× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 102 | $49.30 | 1.1% | 55 | 75.0 | 0.73× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $49.23 | 1.7% | 106 | 114.0 | 0.93× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $48.60 | 1.6% | 76 | 107.1 | 0.71× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $47.78 | 1.0% | 63 | 71.2 | 0.89× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $47.16 | 1.0% | 58 | 72.7 | 0.80× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $46.10 | 1.0% | 53 | 71.2 | 0.74× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 102 | $46.10 | 1.0% | 50 | 75.0 | 0.67× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $45.47 | 1.6% | 98 | 117.1 | 0.84× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $43.99 | 0.9% | 43 | 67.3 | 0.64× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $43.82 | 1.2% | 70 | 94.1 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 102 | $43.45 | 1.0% | 57 | 75.0 | 0.76× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 476 | $43.31 | 0.2% | 12 | 16.1 | 0.75× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $42.85 | 1.0% | 58 | 79.6 | 0.73× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $40.70 | 1.0% | 63 | 84.9 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $38.98 | 1.0% | 64 | 87.2 | 0.73× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $37.60 | 1.1% | 57 | 98.0 | 0.58× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 80 | $36.63 | 1.0% | 61 | 95.7 | 0.64× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $35.42 | 1.1% | 90 | 106.4 | 0.85× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $33.91 | 1.0% | 62 | 97.2 | 0.64× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $32.83 | 1.2% | 80 | 118.6 | 0.67× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $30.25 | 0.4% | 27 | 49.7 | 0.54× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $28.16 | 0.5% | 32 | 55.1 | 0.58× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $27.90 | 1.1% | 101 | 127.8 | 0.79× |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $27.26 | 2.9% | 387 | 358.2 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $22.06 | 2.6% | 403 | 389.5 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $21.30 | 2.0% | 228 | 318.4 | 0.72× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $19.04 | 0.5% | 75 | 94.9 | 0.79× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $18.81 | 0.5% | 80 | 96.4 | 0.83× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-well-worn) | 1 in 75 | $18.09 | 0.5% | 88 | 101.8 | 0.86× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $14.59 | 0.4% | 64 | 84.9 | 0.75× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $9.27 | 0.4% | 95 | 140.0 | 0.68× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $7.89 | 0.5% | 149 | 201.3 | 0.74× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $6.99 | 0.4% | 155 | 208.2 | 0.74× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $6.67 | 0.4% | 154 | 221.9 | 0.69× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $5.71 | 0.5% | 216 | 316.1 | 0.68× |
| [P2000 \| Panther Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-well-worn) | 10.8% | $3.25 | 0.8% | 831 | 830.4 | 1.00× |

Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/jaina`, 11 Nov, 08:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 $1,006 20.12x 2026-11-03 23:49 UTC

[★ Karambit | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 $1,003 20.06x 2026-11-08 16:50 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) [-pH-](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/-pH-) $50.00 $876 17.52x 2026-11-03 20:34 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.00 $872 17.45x 2026-11-09 20:48 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 $621 12.42x 2026-11-09 21:28 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 $621 12.42x 2026-11-09 20:14 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 $619 12.39x 2026-11-06 22:47 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [PACONI](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/PACONI) $50.00 $613 12.26x 2026-11-07 23:52 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 $613 12.26x 2026-11-07 17:41 UTC

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [AV | SHINON](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/AV%20%7C%20SHINON) $50.00 $559 11.18x 2026-11-03 20:01 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=jaina)

[MP7 | Smoking Kills weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills) [Equis](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Equis) $50.00 $7.69 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[P2000 | Panther Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-well-worn) [CODE TOROCHO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CODE%20TOROCHO) $50.00 $3.25 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[P2000 | Panther Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-well-worn) [CODE TOROCHO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CODE%20TOROCHO) $50.00 $3.25 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.00 $54.27 1.09x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[P2000 | Panther Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-well-worn) [foxikkk](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/foxikkk) $50.00 $3.25 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[MP7 | Smoking Kills weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills) [foxikkk](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/foxikkk) $50.00 $7.69 0.15x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 $6.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[P2000 | Panther Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-well-worn) [foxikkk](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/foxikkk) $50.00 $3.25 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 $81.56 1.63x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-minimal-wear) [foxikkk](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/foxikkk) $50.00 $13.90 0.28x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $50.00 | 87.50% | 80 |
| 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $50.00 | 87.69% | 80 |
| 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $50.00 | 87.38% | 80 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $50.00 | 87.72% | 80 |
| 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $50.00 | 87.42% | 80 |
| 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $50.00 | 87.71% | 80 |
| 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $50.00 | 87.15% | 80 |
| 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $50.00 | 87.16% | 80 |
| 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $50.00 | 87.64% | 80 |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $50.00 | 87.76% | 80 |
| 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $50.00 | 87.20% | 80 |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $50.00 | 87.96% | 80 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $50.00 | 87.58% | 80 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $50.00 | 87.77% | 80 |
| 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $50.00 | 87.52% | 80 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $50.00 | 87.71% | 80 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $50.00 | 87.41% | 80 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 26.3% extraordinary 0.0% restricted 6.6% gold 4.7% red 15.4% classified 14.5% pink 5.6% Covert 0.9% Ancient 1.0% violet 3.3% Legendary 4.0% uncommon 6.8% blueLight 10.8% best hit $1,006 (20.12x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt