--- title: "JUNGLE WILDS JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "JUNGLE WILDS JOKER ($1.66) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.63% over 71.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jungle-wilds-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T23:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [JUNGLE WILDS JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jungle-wilds-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · JUNGLE WILDS JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jungle-wilds-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jungle-wilds-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jungle-wilds-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jungle-wilds-joker?window=all) Price · $1.66 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.63% · 71.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.99% ±4.21 8,073 openings 7 days · 85.19% ±1.60 54.8K openings 30 days · 84.63% ±1.40 71.3K openings since tracking started · 84.63% ±1.40 71.3K openings 78.0% 83.0% 88.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jungle-wilds-joker?window=24h) | 8,073 | 82.99% ±4.21 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jungle-wilds-joker?window=7d) | 54.8K | 85.19% ±1.60 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jungle-wilds-joker) | 71.3K | 84.63% ±1.40 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/jungle-wilds-joker?window=all) | 71.3K | 84.63% ±1.40 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=jungle-wilds-joker) [Sticker | Boom Trail sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-trail) [Blatzuca ☭](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Blatzuca%20%20%E2%98%AD) $1.81 $0.18 0.10x 2026-11-11 23:31 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) [Blatzuca ☭](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Blatzuca%20%20%E2%98%AD) $1.81 $5.59 3.09x 2026-11-11 23:31 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) [Blatzuca ☭](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Blatzuca%20%20%E2%98%AD) $1.81 $0.15 0.08x 2026-11-11 23:31 UTC [Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-factory-new) Hidden $1.63 $0.26 0.16x 2026-11-11 23:30 UTC [Sticker | Boom Trail sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-trail) [Blatzuca ☭](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Blatzuca%20%20%E2%98%AD) $1.63 $0.15 0.09x 2026-11-11 23:30 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.63 $0.17 0.10x 2026-11-11 23:30 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) [Blatzuca ☭](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Blatzuca%20%20%E2%98%AD) $1.63 $5.33 3.27x 2026-11-11 23:30 UTC [P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.63 $0.14 0.09x 2026-11-11 23:30 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) [Blatzuca ☭](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Blatzuca%20%20%E2%98%AD) $1.63 $0.15 0.09x 2026-11-11 23:30 UTC [UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-late-night-transit-minimal-wear) [Youngby](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Youngby) $1.81 $0.82 0.45x 2026-11-11 23:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.63 on average: an expected loss of $15.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt