--- title: "KNUSPERSCHATZ case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "KNUSPERSCHATZ ($35.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.37% over 1,570 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/knusperschatz rendered: 2026-11-11T16:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [KNUSPERSCHATZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/knusperschatz) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · KNUSPERSCHATZ A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/knusperschatz?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/knusperschatz?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/knusperschatz) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/knusperschatz?window=all) Price · $35.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.37% · 1,570 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 483 openings · below min 7 days · 95.14% ±13.64 1,198 openings 30 days · 94.37% ±10.97 1,570 openings since tracking started · 94.37% ±10.97 1,570 openings 72.5% 98.5% 124.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/knusperschatz?window=24h) | 483 | 98.47% ±25.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/knusperschatz?window=7d) | 1,198 | 95.14% ±13.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/knusperschatz) | 1,570 | 94.37% ±11.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/knusperschatz?window=all) | 1,570 | 94.37% ±11.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $35.00 $2,003 57.22x 2026-11-11 10:41 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Rejox](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Rejox) $35.00 $1,626 46.47x 2026-11-06 09:16 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $35.00 $655 18.70x 2026-11-03 16:54 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $35.00 $632 18.06x 2026-11-10 22:51 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $35.00 $626 17.90x 2026-11-09 08:11 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [$100K GIVEAWAY CODE: DRASEK](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%24100K%20GIVEAWAY%20CODE%3A%20DRASEK) $35.00 $586 16.74x 2026-11-05 21:46 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $35.00 $586 16.74x 2026-11-04 02:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=knusperschatz) [Glock-18 | Snack Attack weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack) [⪨88????????????????????????⪩](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%AA%A888%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%E2%AA%A9) $35.00 $22.50 0.64x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch) [⪨88????????????????????????⪩](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%AA%A888%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%E2%AA%A9) $35.00 $27.81 0.79x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal) [⪨88????????????????????????⪩](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%AA%A888%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%E2%AA%A9) $35.00 $10.23 0.29x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [M4A4 | In Living Color weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color) [⪨88????????????????????????⪩](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%AA%A888%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%E2%AA%A9) $35.00 $37.91 1.08x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement) [⪨88????????????????????????⪩](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%AA%A888%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%E2%AA%A9) $35.00 $6.82 0.19x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [M4A4 | In Living Color weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color) [⪨88????????????????????????⪩](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%AA%A888%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%E2%AA%A9) $35.00 $37.91 1.08x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [M4A4 | In Living Color weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color) [⪨88????????????????????????⪩](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%AA%A888%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%E2%AA%A9) $35.00 $37.91 1.08x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [M4A4 | In Living Color weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color) [⪨88????????????????????????⪩](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%AA%A888%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%E2%AA%A9) $35.00 $37.91 1.08x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Snack Attack weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack) [⪨88????????????????????????⪩](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%AA%A888%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%E2%AA%A9) $35.00 $22.50 0.64x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch) [⪨88????????????????????????⪩](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%AA%A888%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%E2%AA%A9) $35.00 $27.81 0.79x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,003 (57.22x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.37 on average: an expected loss of $5.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt