--- title: "LA PULGA case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "LA PULGA ($0.50) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.47% over 28.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/la-pulga rendered: 2026-11-11T17:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [LA PULGA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/la-pulga) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · LA PULGA A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/la-pulga?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/la-pulga?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/la-pulga) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/la-pulga?window=all) Price · $0.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.47% · 28.2K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 80.69% ±1.22 2,931 openings 7 days · 81.52% ±1.57 22.2K openings 30 days · 81.47% ±1.25 28.2K openings since tracking started · 81.47% ±1.25 28.2K openings 79.0% 81.3% 83.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/la-pulga?window=24h) | 2,931 | 80.69% ±1.22 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/la-pulga?window=7d) | 22.2K | 81.52% ±1.57 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/la-pulga) | 28.2K | 81.47% ±1.25 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/la-pulga?window=all) | 28.2K | 81.47% ±1.25 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) [loanailen.18](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/loanailen.18) $0.50 $44.35 88.70x 2026-11-06 00:55 UTC [AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) [loanailen.18](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/loanailen.18) $0.50 $44.29 88.58x 2026-11-06 00:55 UTC [AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) [Chimiiz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Chimiiz) $0.50 $43.04 86.08x 2026-11-10 01:45 UTC [AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) [Chimiiz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Chimiiz) $0.50 $40.66 81.32x 2026-11-10 01:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=la-pulga) [P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) [Zeteado](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Zeteado) $0.50 $0.24 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:31 UTC [P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) [Zeteado](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Zeteado) $0.50 $0.24 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:30 UTC [Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes) [Zeteado](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Zeteado) $0.50 $0.63 1.26x 2026-11-11 17:30 UTC [Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-control-field-tested) [Zeteado](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Zeteado) $0.50 $0.51 1.02x 2026-11-11 17:30 UTC [P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) [Zeteado](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Zeteado) $0.50 $0.24 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:30 UTC [Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes) [cova](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/cova) $0.50 $0.63 1.26x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC [P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) [cova](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/cova) $0.50 $0.24 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC [P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) [cova](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/cova) $0.50 $0.24 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC [P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) [cova](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/cova) $0.50 $0.24 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC [P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) [cova](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/cova) $0.50 $0.24 0.48x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $44.35 (88.70x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.47 on average: an expected loss of $18.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt