--- title: "LAZURE JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "LAZURE JOKER ($18.16) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.97% over 3,933 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lazure-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T20:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [LAZURE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lazure-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · LAZURE JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lazure-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lazure-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lazure-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lazure-joker?window=all) Price · $18.16 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.97% · 3,933 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 281 openings · below min 7 days · 79.23% ±6.84 3,173 openings 30 days · 82.97% ±6.36 3,933 openings since tracking started · 82.97% ±6.36 3,933 openings 52.0% 74.3% 96.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lazure-joker?window=24h) | 281 | 74.40% ±21.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lazure-joker?window=7d) | 3,173 | 79.23% ±6.84 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lazure-joker) | 3,933 | 82.97% ±6.36 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lazure-joker?window=all) | 3,933 | 82.97% ±6.36 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=lazure-joker) [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) [BigJota](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/BigJota) $17.95 $4.48 0.25x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC [Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-well-worn) [BigJota](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/BigJota) $17.95 $0.72 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC [P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-field-tested) [BigJota](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/BigJota) $17.95 $1.01 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC [FAMAS | Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-minimal-wear) [BigJota](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/BigJota) $17.95 $10.79 0.60x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) [BigJota](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/BigJota) $17.95 $0.44 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-minimal-wear) [BigJota](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/BigJota) $17.95 $1.34 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) [Amo7195](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Amo7195) $17.95 $10.46 0.58x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [FAMAS | Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-field-tested) Hidden $17.97 $3.82 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-field-tested) Hidden $17.97 $0.44 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) Hidden $17.97 $4.36 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.97 on average: an expected loss of $17.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt