--- title: "MAIS UMA case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "MAIS UMA ($15.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.74% over 1,303 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/mais-uma rendered: 2026-11-11T17:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [MAIS UMA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/mais-uma) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · MAIS UMA A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/mais-uma?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/mais-uma?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/mais-uma) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/mais-uma?window=all) Price · $15.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.74% · 1,303 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 65 openings · below min 7 days · 83.77% ±5.12 1,173 openings 30 days · 83.74% ±4.76 1,303 openings since tracking started · 83.74% ±4.76 1,303 openings 52.0% 73.5% 95.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/mais-uma?window=24h) | 65 | 73.70% ±20.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/mais-uma?window=7d) | 1,173 | 83.77% ±5.12 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/mais-uma) | 1,303 | 83.74% ±4.76 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/mais-uma?window=all) | 1,303 | 83.74% ±4.76 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=mais-uma) [AWP | Ice Coaled weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled) [clarocox](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/clarocox) $15.00 $9.56 0.64x 2026-11-11 16:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 $4.77 0.32x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC [AWP | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) [clarocox](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/clarocox) $15.00 $6.63 0.44x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick) [clarocox](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/clarocox) $15.00 $4.53 0.30x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [P250 | Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 $4.50 0.30x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-battle-scarred) [clarocox](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/clarocox) $15.00 $3.61 0.24x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [P250 | Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) [clarocox](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/clarocox) $15.00 $4.36 0.29x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC [P250 | Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 $4.50 0.30x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.00 $5.90 0.39x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.00 $61.94 4.13x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.74 on average: an expected loss of $16.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt