--- title: "NEMURITOR JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "NEMURITOR JOKER ($1,073.34) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 102.36% over 672 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/nemuritor-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T20:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [NEMURITOR JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/nemuritor-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · NEMURITOR JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/nemuritor-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/nemuritor-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/nemuritor-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/nemuritor-joker?window=all) Price · $1,073.34 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 102.36% · 672 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 35 openings · below min 7 days · 637 openings · below min 30 days · 672 openings · below min since tracking started · 672 openings · below min 10.0% 79.5% 149.0% **Small sample.** 672 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/nemuritor-joker?window=24h) | 35 | 79.33% ±68.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/nemuritor-joker?window=7d) | 637 | 99.86% ±15.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/nemuritor-joker) | 672 | 102.36% ±15.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/nemuritor-joker?window=all) | 672 | 102.36% ±15.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $1,070 $8,984 8.40x 2026-11-08 21:09 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $1,070 $8,984 8.40x 2026-11-08 21:09 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $1,070 $8,984 8.40x 2026-11-08 21:09 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $1,070 $8,984 8.40x 2026-11-08 21:08 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,069 $8,984 8.40x 2026-11-08 21:08 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,069 $8,984 8.40x 2026-11-08 21:07 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $1,070 $8,984 8.40x 2026-11-08 21:07 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,070 $8,984 8.40x 2026-11-08 21:07 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $1,070 $8,984 8.40x 2026-11-08 21:07 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,070 $8,984 8.40x 2026-11-08 21:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=nemuritor-joker) [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,058 $21.30 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,058 $123 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,058 $337 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $1,050 $21.16 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1,050 $155 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,050 $5,255 5.01x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC [Nova | Tempest (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-tempest-factory-new) Hidden $1,050 $18.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1,050 $155 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,050 $21.36 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,050 $28.18 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $8,984 (8.40x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 102.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $102.36 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt