--- title: "NEW AGE JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "NEW AGE JOKER ($4.18) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.87% over 11.4K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/new-age-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T20:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [NEW AGE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/new-age-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · NEW AGE JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/new-age-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/new-age-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/new-age-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/new-age-joker?window=all) Price · $4.18 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.87% · 11.4K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 92.10% ±14.07 1,027 openings 7 days · 84.58% ±4.44 9,163 openings 30 days · 83.87% ±3.98 11.4K openings since tracking started · 83.87% ±3.98 11.4K openings 77.5% 92.3% 107.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/new-age-joker?window=24h) | 1,027 | 92.10% ±14.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/new-age-joker?window=7d) | 9,163 | 84.58% ±4.44 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/new-age-joker) | 11.4K | 83.87% ±3.98 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/new-age-joker?window=all) | 11.4K | 83.87% ±3.98 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=new-age-joker) [Sticker | Boom Trail sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-trail) [Slayer](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Slayer) $3.93 $0.18 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-field-tested) Hidden $3.88 $19.09 4.92x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [Sticker | Boom Trail sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-trail) [Slayer](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Slayer) $3.88 $0.15 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [SSG 08 | Memorial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-memorial-minimal-wear) [Slayer](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Slayer) $3.93 $0.24 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-downtown-field-tested) Hidden $3.88 $0.68 0.18x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [SSG 08 | Memorial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-memorial-minimal-wear) [Slayer](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Slayer) $3.88 $0.24 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [AK-47 | Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-battle-scarred) [Slayer](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Slayer) $3.93 $36.57 9.31x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) Hidden $3.88 $0.45 0.12x 2026-11-11 20:48 UTC [AK-47 | Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-battle-scarred) [Slayer](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Slayer) $3.88 $35.38 9.12x 2026-11-11 20:48 UTC [Sticker | Hydro Wave sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hydro-wave) [ErikSMITH #11](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/ErikSMITH%20%2311) $3.93 $0.15 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.87 on average: an expected loss of $16.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt