--- title: "NIGHT CALLS JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "NIGHT CALLS JOKER ($1,661.68) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 59.66% over 66 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T21:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [NIGHT CALLS JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · NIGHT CALLS JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls-joker?window=all) Price · $1,661.68 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 59.66% · 66 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 26 openings · below min 7 days · 41 openings · below min 30 days · 66 openings · below min since tracking started · 66 openings · below min 6.5% 86.5% 166.5% **Small sample.** 66 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls-joker?window=24h) | 26 | 86.52% ±79.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls-joker?window=7d) | 41 | 62.60% ±51.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls-joker) | 66 | 59.66% ±33.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls-joker?window=all) | 66 | 59.66% ±33.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $15.9K 9.82x 2026-11-11 04:34 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $6,940 4.30x 2026-11-11 04:33 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,662 $3,751 2.26x 2026-11-03 03:48 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,662 $3,751 2.26x 2026-11-03 03:48 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [Giveaway code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Giveaway%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,662 $3,246 1.95x 2026-11-03 03:48 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [Giveaway code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Giveaway%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,662 $3,246 1.95x 2026-11-03 03:48 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $3,075 1.90x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,615 $3,075 1.90x 2026-11-11 02:16 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,611 $3,063 1.90x 2026-11-11 02:15 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,615 $1,875 1.16x 2026-11-09 20:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=night-calls-joker) [UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-minimal-wear) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $89.39 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $3,075 1.90x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC [AWP | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $60.78 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $393 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC [AUG | Midnight Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-factory-new) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $409 0.25x 2026-11-11 04:39 UTC [FAMAS | Bad Trip weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $54.21 0.03x 2026-11-11 04:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $161 0.10x 2026-11-11 04:38 UTC [FAMAS | Bad Trip weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $54.21 0.03x 2026-11-11 04:38 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $70.20 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:37 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [SharaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SharaN) $1,615 $739 0.46x 2026-11-11 04:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $15.9K (9.82x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 59.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $59.66 on average: an expected loss of $40.34 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt