---
title: "NO POISON case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "NO POISON ($35.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 65 items with odds, observed 90.31% over 5,207 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/no-poison
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [NO POISON](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/no-poison)

# [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · NO POISON

A case on Key-Drop (VENOM VAULT), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/no-poison?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/no-poison?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/no-poison) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/no-poison?window=all)

Price · $35.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $30.62 from 65 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.31% · 5,207 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.56% ±12.54 491 openings

7 days · 89.75% ±4.37 4,017 openings

30 days · 90.31% ±3.84 5,207 openings

since tracking started · 90.31% ±3.84 5,207 openings

80.5% 93.8% 107.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/no-poison?window=24h) | 491 | 93.56% ±12.5 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/no-poison?window=7d) | 4,017 | 89.75% ±4.37 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/no-poison) | 5,207 | 90.31% ±3.84 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/no-poison?window=all) | 5,207 | 90.31% ±3.84 | +1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 65 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,207 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33,333 | $2,821 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 14,286 | $2,003 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,587 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,109 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 3,333 | $861 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.28× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $632 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $572 | 0.9% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.92× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 2,000 | $369 | 0.6% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.92× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · gold · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,250 | $260 | 0.7% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.20× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-well-worn) | 1 in 714 | $146 | 0.7% | 4 | 7.3 | 0.55× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) | 1 in 714 | $145 | 0.7% | 5 | 7.3 | 0.69× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $123 | 14.6% | 150 | 189.0 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $91.83 | 6.5% | 80 | 112.5 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 238 | $82.85 | 1.1% | 27 | 21.9 | 1.23× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 137 | $81.04 | 1.9% | 22 | 38.0 | 0.58× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $72.60 | 2.1% | 44 | 46.9 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 106 | $71.39 | 2.2% | 29 | 48.9 | 0.59× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $70.80 | 1.7% | 35 | 38.5 | 0.91× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $67.00 | 1.1% | 23 | 26.0 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $65.37 | 1.3% | 28 | 31.2 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 118 | $58.32 | 1.6% | 40 | 44.3 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 103 | $54.51 | 1.7% | 51 | 50.5 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $54.24 | 2.2% | 52 | 66.1 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $54.15 | 1.8% | 45 | 51.5 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 114 | $53.97 | 1.6% | 44 | 45.8 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 76 | $53.21 | 2.3% | 76 | 68.2 | 1.11× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 213 | $53.21 | 0.8% | 15 | 24.5 | 0.61× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $50.22 | 2.3% | 63 | 72.4 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 68 | $48.53 | 2.3% | 59 | 77.1 | 0.77× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $46.68 | 2.1% | 46 | 72.9 | 0.63× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $44.98 | 1.9% | 36 | 66.6 | 0.54× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $42.84 | 2.3% | 66 | 86.4 | 0.76× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $39.59 | 2.1% | 86 | 86.4 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $39.44 | 2.5% | 73 | 102.1 | 0.72× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-battle-scarred) | 1 in 57 | $38.61 | 2.2% | 61 | 90.6 | 0.67× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $37.58 | 2.3% | 61 | 95.8 | 0.64× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $36.62 | 1.3% | 32 | 57.8 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $35.79 | 1.3% | 36 | 55.7 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $30.98 | 0.7% | 23 | 36.4 | 0.63× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $27.36 | 1.4% | 47 | 79.1 | 0.59× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-factory-new) | 1 in 189 | $25.54 | 0.4% | 11 | 27.6 | 0.40× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $22.79 | 1.5% | 87 | 102.1 | 0.85× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $22.32 | 1.5% | 67 | 105.2 | 0.64× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $21.41 | 1.2% | 86 | 91.6 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $20.29 | 1.2% | 81 | 91.1 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $19.78 | 1.3% | 91 | 102.6 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $19.71 | 1.3% | 75 | 102.6 | 0.73× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $18.51 | 1.2% | 74 | 103.6 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $17.55 | 0.9% | 67 | 81.7 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 44 | $16.90 | 1.2% | 94 | 117.2 | 0.80× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $16.70 | 0.5% | 35 | 50.0 | 0.70× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $15.60 | 0.4% | 32 | 40.1 | 0.80× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $12.97 | 1.0% | 98 | 124.4 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $10.65 | 1.1% | 122 | 164.0 | 0.74× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $8.68 | 0.7% | 92 | 125.0 | 0.74× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $8.40 | 0.7% | 94 | 131.2 | 0.72× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $8.29 | 0.7% | 103 | 133.3 | 0.77× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $8.20 | 0.5% | 68 | 97.9 | 0.69× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $6.93 | 0.5% | 72 | 123.9 | 0.58× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $6.93 | 0.8% | 106 | 175.5 | 0.60× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $6.76 | 0.5% | 93 | 128.1 | 0.73× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $6.70 | 0.8% | 143 | 183.8 | 0.78× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $6.67 | 0.5% | 95 | 130.7 | 0.73× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $6.67 | 0.8% | 134 | 185.4 | 0.72× |
| [UMP-45 \| Houndstooth (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-houndstooth-factory-new) | 11.0% | $5.93 | 2.1% | 579 | 574.9 | 1.01× |

Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/no-poison`, 11 Nov, 08:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Tweeyou](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Tweeyou) $35.00 $2,789 79.69x 2026-11-10 03:47 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Tweeyou](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Tweeyou) $35.00 $2,789 79.69x 2026-11-10 03:47 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $35.00 $868 24.81x 2026-11-06 21:37 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [p3x](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/p3x) $35.00 $868 24.79x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $35.00 $652 18.63x 2026-11-04 10:48 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Nightwish](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Nightwish) $35.00 $643 18.38x 2026-11-03 10:01 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $35.00 $632 18.06x 2026-11-10 16:53 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [naspoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/naspoo) $35.00 $586 16.74x 2026-11-04 10:23 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [naspoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/naspoo) $35.00 $586 16.74x 2026-11-04 10:21 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $35.00 $581 16.61x 2026-11-07 12:06 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=no-poison)

[MP7 | Abyssal Apparition weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition) [Montana](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Montana) $35.00 $7.73 0.22x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach) [Montana](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Montana) $35.00 $57.52 1.64x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach) [Montana](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Montana) $35.00 $57.52 1.64x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream) [ゼロツー](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E3%82%BC%E3%83%AD%E3%83%84%E3%83%BC) $35.00 $44.80 1.28x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty) [ゼロツー](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E3%82%BC%E3%83%AD%E3%83%84%E3%83%BC) $35.00 $21.06 0.60x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) [ゼロツー](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E3%82%BC%E3%83%AD%E3%83%84%E3%83%BC) $35.00 $66.29 1.89x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC

[AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) Hidden $35.00 $10.16 0.29x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC

[UMP-45 | Houndstooth (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-houndstooth-factory-new) Hidden $35.00 $5.93 0.17x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC

[FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) Hidden $35.00 $6.58 0.19x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.00 $33.70 0.96x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $35.00 | 87.50% | 65 |
| 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $35.00 | 87.64% | 65 |
| 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $35.00 | 87.72% | 65 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $35.00 | 87.54% | 65 |
| 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $35.00 | 87.69% | 65 |
| 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $35.00 | 87.30% | 65 |
| 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $35.00 | 87.73% | 65 |
| 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $35.00 | 87.46% | 65 |
| 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $35.00 | 87.44% | 65 |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $35.00 | 87.38% | 65 |
| 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $35.00 | 87.60% | 65 |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $35.00 | 87.45% | 65 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $35.00 | 87.42% | 65 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $35.00 | 87.66% | 65 |
| 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $35.00 | 87.32% | 65 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $35.00 | 87.50% | 65 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $35.00 | 87.66% | 65 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% covert 21.4% gold 0.1% red 4.7% Ancient 5.7% pink 37.7% classified 17.6% #d32ce6 1.0% Legendary 0.8% #87c7ff 11.0% best hit $2,789 (79.69x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
