--- title: "NOROCOSUL JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "NOROCOSUL JOKER ($37.71) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.70% over 360 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/norocosul-joker rendered: 2026-11-12T11:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [NOROCOSUL JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/norocosul-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · NOROCOSUL JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/norocosul-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/norocosul-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/norocosul-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/norocosul-joker?window=all) Price · $37.71 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.70% · 360 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 31 openings · below min 7 days · 214 openings · below min 30 days · 360 openings · below min since tracking started · 360 openings · below min 67.0% 129.0% 191.0% **Small sample.** 360 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/norocosul-joker?window=24h) | 31 | 129.08% ±61.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/norocosul-joker?window=7d) | 214 | 100.86% ±20.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/norocosul-joker) | 360 | 88.70% ±14.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/norocosul-joker?window=all) | 360 | 88.70% ±14.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=norocosul-joker) [AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) [jube](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/jube) $37.39 $3.75 0.10x 2026-11-12 11:00 UTC [MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-metallic-ddpat-factory-new) [jube](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/jube) $37.39 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-12 11:00 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) [jube](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/jube) $37.39 $54.24 1.45x 2026-11-12 10:59 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) Hidden $37.31 $8.24 0.22x 2026-11-12 10:59 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-field-tested) Hidden $37.31 $0.85 0.02x 2026-11-12 10:59 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-field-tested) Hidden $37.31 $0.85 0.02x 2026-11-12 10:59 UTC [AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) [jube](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/jube) $37.31 $3.95 0.11x 2026-11-12 10:59 UTC [MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-metallic-ddpat-factory-new) [jube](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/jube) $37.31 $0.08 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:59 UTC [AK-47 | The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.31 $32.44 0.87x 2026-11-12 10:59 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) Hidden $37.31 $8.24 0.22x 2026-11-12 10:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.70 on average: an expected loss of $11.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt