--- title: "OTRA case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "OTRA ($35.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.63% over 1,795 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/otra rendered: 2026-11-11T14:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [OTRA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/otra) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · OTRA A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/otra?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/otra?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/otra) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/otra?window=all) Price · $35.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.63% · 1,795 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 170 openings · below min 7 days · 624 openings · below min 30 days · 87.63% ±6.46 1,795 openings since tracking started · 87.63% ±6.46 1,795 openings 60.0% 78.0% 96.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/otra?window=24h) | 170 | 71.68% ±11.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/otra?window=7d) | 624 | 83.11% ±12.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/otra) | 1,795 | 87.63% ±6.46 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/otra?window=all) | 1,795 | 87.63% ±6.46 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $35.00 $1,125 32.15x 2026-11-08 18:15 UTC [★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $35.00 $1,065 30.42x 2026-11-02 22:47 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $35.00 $666 19.02x 2026-11-02 22:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=otra) [M4A1-S | Party Animal weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal) [CODE TOROCHO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CODE%20TOROCHO) $35.00 $10.23 0.29x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.00 $33.70 0.96x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) [CODE TOROCHO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CODE%20TOROCHO) $35.00 $8.43 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement) [Titi Aranda](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Titi%20Aranda) $35.00 $6.82 0.19x 2026-11-11 11:10 UTC [UMP-45 | Houndstooth (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-houndstooth-factory-new) [Titi Aranda](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Titi%20Aranda) $35.00 $6.06 0.17x 2026-11-11 11:10 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement) [Titi Aranda](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Titi%20Aranda) $35.00 $6.82 0.19x 2026-11-11 11:10 UTC [MP7 | Abyssal Apparition weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition) [Titi Aranda](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Titi%20Aranda) $35.00 $7.72 0.22x 2026-11-11 11:09 UTC [AK-47 | Asiimov weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov) [Titi Aranda](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Titi%20Aranda) $35.00 $52.90 1.51x 2026-11-11 11:09 UTC [USP-S | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream) [Titi Aranda](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Titi%20Aranda) $35.00 $46.05 1.32x 2026-11-11 11:09 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider) [Titi Aranda](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Titi%20Aranda) $35.00 $56.37 1.61x 2026-11-11 11:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,125 (32.15x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.63 on average: an expected loss of $12.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt