--- title: "PINK STAR JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "PINK STAR JOKER ($155.70) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.26% over 371 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pink-star-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T21:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [PINK STAR JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pink-star-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · PINK STAR JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pink-star-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pink-star-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pink-star-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pink-star-joker?window=all) Price · $155.70 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.26% · 371 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 207 openings · below min 7 days · 327 openings · below min 30 days · 371 openings · below min since tracking started · 371 openings · below min 78.5% 105.5% 132.5% **Small sample.** 371 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pink-star-joker?window=24h) | 207 | 106.11% ±25.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pink-star-joker?window=7d) | 327 | 97.88% ±18.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pink-star-joker) | 371 | 100.26% ±17.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pink-star-joker?window=all) | 371 | 100.26% ±17.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [CODE: ELTUCUCS](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CODE%3A%20ELTUCUCS) $155 $1,083 6.97x 2026-11-04 03:44 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [CODE: ELTUCUCS](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CODE%3A%20ELTUCUCS) $155 $1,083 6.97x 2026-11-04 03:43 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $155 $1,083 6.97x 2026-11-04 03:43 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [KOLOMPÁR DZSÉSZÖN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/KOLOMP%C3%81R%20DZS%C3%89SZ%C3%96N) $152 $1,073 7.07x 2026-11-07 18:23 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $150 $1,071 7.12x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $150 $1,071 7.12x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [Train9](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Train9) $150 $1,071 7.12x 2026-11-11 03:12 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [Train9](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Train9) $150 $1,071 7.12x 2026-11-11 03:11 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [KOLOMPÁR DZSÉSZÖN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/KOLOMP%C3%81R%20DZS%C3%89SZ%C3%96N) $154 $1,068 6.96x 2026-11-07 18:23 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [Train9](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Train9) $152 $1,068 7.01x 2026-11-11 03:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=pink-star-joker) [M4A1-S | Nightmare weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare) [ZӨΗЯIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Z%D3%A8%CE%97%D0%AFIK) $150 $8.88 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) [ZӨΗЯIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Z%D3%A8%CE%97%D0%AFIK) $150 $82.99 0.55x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) [ZӨΗЯIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Z%D3%A8%CE%97%D0%AFIK) $151 $10.49 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) Hidden $151 $82.41 0.55x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $151 $236 1.57x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $151 $34.25 0.23x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [P250 | Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) Hidden $151 $4.50 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-battle-scarred) Hidden $151 $7.55 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $151 $5.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) Hidden $151 $204 1.35x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,083 (6.97x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.26 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt