---
title: "PREMIUM KNIVES case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "PREMIUM KNIVES ($375.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 79 items with odds, observed 84.12% over 955 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [PREMIUM KNIVES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives)

# [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · PREMIUM KNIVES

A case on Key-Drop (PREMIUM CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives?window=all)

Price · $375.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $328.13 from 79 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.12% · 955 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.68% ±14.63 135 openings

7 days · 83.01% ±5.94 806 openings

30 days · 84.12% ±5.45 955 openings

since tracking started · 84.12% ±5.45 955 openings

76.5% 91.8% 107.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives?window=24h) | 135 | 91.68% ±14.6 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives?window=7d) | 806 | 83.01% ±5.94 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives) | 955 | 84.12% ±5.45 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives?window=all) | 955 | 84.12% ±5.45 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 79 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 955 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 1,667 | $3,099 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 1,250 | $2,259 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $2,231 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $1,671 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.95× |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 909 | $1,646 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.95× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,450 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 833 | $1,442 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.87× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 141 | $1,331 | 2.9% | 2 | 6.8 | 0.29× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 141 | $1,322 | 2.9% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.88× |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 141 | $1,320 | 2.9% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.18× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 125 | $1,172 | 2.9% | 7 | 7.6 | 0.92× |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $1,102 | 2.9% | 4 | 8.1 | 0.49× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $1,045 | 2.9% | 2 | 8.6 | 0.23× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 625 | $1,010 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 95 | $929 | 3.0% | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 95 | $927 | 3.0% | 6 | 10.0 | 0.60× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 88 | $860 | 3.0% | 7 | 10.9 | 0.64× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 82 | $802 | 3.0% | 6 | 11.7 | 0.51× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $743 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 303 | $708 | 0.7% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 263 | $657 | 0.8% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 65 | $627 | 3.0% | 28 | 14.8 | 1.89× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 62 | $604 | 3.0% | 24 | 15.5 | 1.55× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $596 | 3.0% | 19 | 15.7 | 1.21× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 526 | $588 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 93 | $550 | 1.8% | 8 | 10.3 | 0.78× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 90 | $544 | 1.8% | 3 | 10.6 | 0.28× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 40 | $516 | 3.9% | 23 | 23.9 | 0.96× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $513 | 3.9% | 27 | 24.0 | 1.13× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $476 | 2.1% | 12 | 13.8 | 0.87× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $470 | 2.1% | 10 | 14.1 | 0.71× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $439 | 3.9% | 30 | 28.0 | 1.07× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $425 | 3.9% | 24 | 28.9 | 0.83× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 31 | $401 | 3.9% | 19 | 30.7 | 0.62× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 145 | $393 | 0.8% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161 | $378 | 0.7% | 2 | 5.9 | 0.34× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $361 | 1.7% | 22 | 14.9 | 1.48× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $346 | 1.9% | 16 | 16.8 | 0.95× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 185 | $333 | 0.5% | 3 | 5.2 | 0.58× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 217 | $327 | 0.5% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.46× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 213 | $323 | 0.5% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 233 | $305 | 0.4% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.22× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $298 | 0.4% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 185 | $297 | 0.5% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.78× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 145 | $285 | 0.6% | 4 | 6.6 | 0.61× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $283 | 0.6% | 5 | 6.7 | 0.75× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $276 | 0.4% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.42× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 48 | $264 | 1.7% | 23 | 19.9 | 1.16× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $262 | 1.7% | 22 | 19.9 | 1.11× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $257 | 1.7% | 15 | 20.2 | 0.74× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 46 | $244 | 1.6% | 25 | 20.8 | 1.20× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $215 | 0.7% | 6 | 10.4 | 0.58× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $199 | 1.5% | 26 | 23.5 | 1.11× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $185 | 0.8% | 5 | 13.2 | 0.38× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $155 | 1.4% | 27 | 27.2 | 0.99× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161 | $148 | 0.3% | 4 | 5.9 | 0.68× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $123 | 0.3% | 4 | 7.9 | 0.50× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 114 | $118 | 0.3% | 4 | 8.4 | 0.48× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $112 | 0.3% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $89.42 | 1.1% | 43 | 37.9 | 1.13× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $74.94 | 0.2% | 3 | 8.6 | 0.35× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $72.60 | 0.2% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $68.54 | 0.2% | 6 | 9.6 | 0.62× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $64.30 | 0.2% | 10 | 11.7 | 0.86× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $62.32 | 0.2% | 13 | 12.3 | 1.06× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $62.17 | 0.2% | 5 | 12.3 | 0.41× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $61.21 | 0.2% | 6 | 11.8 | 0.51× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $59.96 | 0.2% | 5 | 11.9 | 0.42× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $59.13 | 0.2% | 8 | 12.1 | 0.66× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $56.11 | 0.2% | 10 | 13.6 | 0.74× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $54.90 | 0.2% | 10 | 14.1 | 0.71× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $54.06 | 0.2% | 4 | 9.5 | 0.42× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $52.02 | 0.9% | 60 | 52.5 | 1.14× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $51.61 | 0.2% | 8 | 15.1 | 0.53× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 89 | $50.38 | 0.2% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.75× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $50.28 | 0.2% | 5 | 10.7 | 0.47× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $49.30 | 0.9% | 51 | 54.2 | 0.94× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $48.36 | 0.2% | 9 | 11.4 | 0.79× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $48.14 | 0.2% | 13 | 13.0 | 1.00× |

Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/premium-knives`, 11 Nov, 14:48 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $375 $3,077 8.21x 2026-11-05 20:49 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $375 $2,364 6.30x 2026-11-05 20:06 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $375 $2,239 5.97x 2026-11-10 09:56 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [twitch.tv/pr1mefpss](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/twitch.tv%2Fpr1mefpss) $375 $1,674 4.46x 2026-11-10 08:14 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [twitch.tv/pr1mefpss](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/twitch.tv%2Fpr1mefpss) $375 $1,657 4.42x 2026-11-09 08:31 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $375 $1,462 3.90x 2026-11-09 16:18 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [ƈҽʂι Ⴆαɳȥαι](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%C6%88%D2%BD%CA%82%CE%B9%20%E1%82%A6%CE%B1%C9%B3%C8%A5%CE%B1%CE%B9) $375 $1,389 3.70x 2026-11-06 23:23 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [VYR ✪TG-cvh](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/VYR%20%E2%9C%AATG-cvh) $375 $1,349 3.60x 2026-11-10 23:13 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [VYR ✪TG-cvh](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/VYR%20%E2%9C%AATG-cvh) $375 $1,349 3.60x 2026-11-10 23:11 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · gold · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $375 $1,349 3.60x 2026-11-10 17:24 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=premium-knives)

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [zack](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/zack) $375 $244 0.65x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [zack](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/zack) $375 $604 1.61x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [zack](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/zack) $375 $802 2.14x 2026-11-11 17:28 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) [zack](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/zack) $375 $596 1.59x 2026-11-11 17:28 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [zack](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/zack) $375 $425 1.13x 2026-11-11 17:28 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic) [zack](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/zack) $375 $58.87 0.16x 2026-11-11 17:28 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $375 $388 1.03x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [zack](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/zack) $375 $242 0.65x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $375 $349 0.93x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [zack](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/zack) $375 $604 1.61x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:48 UTC | $375 | 87.50% | 79 |
| 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $375 | 87.50% | 79 |
| 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $375 | 87.50% | 79 |
| 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $375 | 87.71% | 79 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $375 | 87.53% | 79 |
| 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $375 | 87.66% | 79 |
| 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $375 | 87.74% | 79 |
| 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $375 | 87.78% | 79 |
| 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $375 | 87.76% | 79 |
| 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $375 | 87.41% | 79 |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $375 | 87.49% | 79 |
| 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $375 | 87.71% | 79 |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $375 | 87.53% | 79 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $375 | 87.39% | 79 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $375 | 87.68% | 79 |
| 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $375 | 87.31% | 79 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $375 | 87.59% | 79 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $375 | 87.36% | 79 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 72.2% gold 23.6% epic 0.9% rare 0.4% legendary 1.6% Immortal 1.3% best hit $3,077 (8.21x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt