--- title: "PUMPKIN SPICE JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "PUMPKIN SPICE JOKER ($26.47) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.89% over 9,602 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pumpkin-spice-2-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T22:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [PUMPKIN SPICE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pumpkin-spice-2-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · PUMPKIN SPICE JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pumpkin-spice-2-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pumpkin-spice-2-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pumpkin-spice-2-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pumpkin-spice-2-joker?window=all) Price · $26.47 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.89% · 9,602 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.38% ±10.36 3,211 openings 7 days · 81.89% ±5.98 9,602 openings 30 days · 81.89% ±5.98 9,602 openings since tracking started · 81.89% ±5.98 9,602 openings 71.5% 82.5% 93.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pumpkin-spice-2-joker?window=24h) | 3,211 | 82.38% ±10.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pumpkin-spice-2-joker?window=7d) | 9,602 | 81.89% ±5.98 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pumpkin-spice-2-joker) | 9,602 | 81.89% ±5.98 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/pumpkin-spice-2-joker?window=all) | 9,602 | 81.89% ±5.98 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=pumpkin-spice-2-joker) [AK-47 | The Outsiders weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders) [MasterFish](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/MasterFish) $26.47 $7.07 0.27x 2026-11-11 22:42 UTC [AK-47 | The Outsiders weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders) [Gustavo JR](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Gustavo%20JR) $26.47 $7.07 0.27x 2026-11-11 22:40 UTC [Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) [Manolitohuevofrito](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Manolitohuevofrito) $26.47 $0.45 0.02x 2026-11-11 22:40 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Frosty (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-minimal-wear) [Manolitohuevofrito](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Manolitohuevofrito) $26.47 $432 16.34x 2026-11-11 22:40 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-dream-glade-minimal-wear) [Manolitohuevofrito](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Manolitohuevofrito) $26.47 $1.00 0.04x 2026-11-11 22:39 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) [Manolitohuevofrito](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Manolitohuevofrito) $26.47 $13.62 0.51x 2026-11-11 22:39 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Frosty (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.14 $430 16.44x 2026-11-11 22:39 UTC [P2000 | Panther Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-well-worn) Hidden $26.14 $3.25 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:39 UTC [P2000 | Panther Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-well-worn) Hidden $26.14 $3.25 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:39 UTC [Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) [Manolitohuevofrito](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Manolitohuevofrito) $26.14 $0.45 0.02x 2026-11-11 22:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.89 on average: an expected loss of $18.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt