---
title: "RAIN case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "RAIN ($69.42) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 60 items with odds, observed 86.20% over 11.5K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [RAIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain)

# [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · RAIN

A case on Key-Drop (BESTSELLERS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain?window=all)

Price · $69.42

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $60.74 from 60 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.20% · 11.5K openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 59.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.02% ±7.36 1,397 openings

7 days · 87.09% ±2.69 9,421 openings

30 days · 86.20% ±2.43 11.5K openings

since tracking started · 86.20% ±2.43 11.5K openings

82.0% 90.0% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain?window=24h) | 1,397 | 90.02% ±7.36 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain?window=7d) | 9,421 | 87.09% ±2.69 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain) | 11.5K | 86.20% ±2.43 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain?window=all) | 11.5K | 86.20% ±2.43 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 60 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,063 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,111 | $1,366 | 2.0% | 12 | 10.4 | 1.15× |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,115 | 0.9% | 3 | 5.8 | 0.52× |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $939 | 1.1% | 4 | 8.1 | 0.49× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 588 | $745 | 2.1% | 17 | 19.7 | 0.87× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 500 | $626 | 2.1% | 15 | 23.1 | 0.65× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 303 | $385 | 2.1% | 39 | 38.1 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $250 | 13.8% | 82 | 386.1 | 0.21× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $209 | 4.3% | 175 | 143.3 | 1.22× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $207 | 4.3% | 202 | 145.6 | 1.39× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 179 | $172 | 1.6% | 117 | 64.7 | 1.81× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $164 | 4.2% | 163 | 180.3 | 0.90× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $156 | 4.2% | 223 | 190.7 | 1.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 244 | $148 | 1.0% | 35 | 47.4 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $144 | 1.0% | 33 | 50.9 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 208 | $137 | 1.1% | 57 | 55.5 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 161 | $136 | 1.4% | 60 | 71.7 | 0.84× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $135 | 1.0% | 35 | 52.0 | 0.67× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 192 | $131 | 1.1% | 52 | 60.1 | 0.87× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 152 | $131 | 1.4% | 63 | 76.3 | 0.83× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 149 | $130 | 1.4% | 57 | 77.4 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 204 | $129 | 1.0% | 40 | 56.6 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 189 | $125 | 1.1% | 43 | 61.3 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $122 | 2.0% | 82 | 117.9 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 179 | $120 | 1.1% | 38 | 64.7 | 0.59× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $114 | 2.2% | 101 | 135.2 | 0.75× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $75.12 | 7.9% | 685 | 739.8 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $70.80 | 9.6% | 766 | 947.8 | 0.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $70.60 | 8.4% | 430 | 838.0 | 0.51× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $66.50 | 0.8% | 40 | 80.9 | 0.49× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 196 | $64.85 | 0.5% | 48 | 59.0 | 0.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 192 | $64.31 | 0.6% | 81 | 60.1 | 1.35× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 270 | $59.97 | 0.4% | 34 | 42.8 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 244 | $56.68 | 0.4% | 47 | 47.4 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 233 | $55.21 | 0.4% | 39 | 49.7 | 0.78× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 130 | $54.24 | 0.7% | 70 | 89.0 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 125 | $53.21 | 0.7% | 76 | 92.5 | 0.82× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 217 | $53.04 | 0.4% | 39 | 53.2 | 0.73× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 217 | $52.52 | 0.4% | 43 | 53.2 | 0.81× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $51.91 | 1.9% | 265 | 255.5 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $42.81 | 0.7% | 78 | 107.5 | 0.73× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 103 | $41.80 | 0.7% | 56 | 112.1 | 0.50× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $39.89 | 1.7% | 293 | 298.2 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 270 | $30.98 | 0.2% | 39 | 42.8 | 0.91× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $23.98 | 0.1% | 11 | 15.0 | 0.73× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $17.55 | 0.3% | 78 | 107.5 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 217 | $13.39 | 0.1% | 35 | 53.2 | 0.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $12.97 | 0.3% | 120 | 173.4 | 0.69× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $10.77 | 0.2% | 117 | 148.0 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 49 | $10.65 | 0.4% | 176 | 238.1 | 0.74× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $7.85 | 0.1% | 97 | 126.0 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $6.76 | 0.3% | 206 | 309.8 | 0.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $5.81 | 0.3% | 283 | 395.3 | 0.72× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $5.27 | 0.2% | 173 | 237.0 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $5.04 | 0.2% | 165 | 254.3 | 0.65× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $4.68 | 0.2% | 206 | 286.7 | 0.72× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $3.28 | 0.2% | 268 | 354.9 | 0.76× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $2.66 | 0.2% | 337 | 497.0 | 0.68× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $2.36 | 0.2% | 405 | 602.2 | 0.67× |
| [Sticker \| Lorena sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lorena) | 14.2% | $2.25 | 0.5% | 1,662 | 1647.2 | 1.01× |

Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/rain`, 11 Nov, 08:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $69.42 $1,452 20.92x 2026-11-04 02:03 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [NatsuNekoDrag](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/NatsuNekoDrag) $69.42 $1,433 20.64x 2026-11-02 22:37 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [donkgordo](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/donkgordo) $69.42 $1,424 20.52x 2026-11-04 22:45 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [donkgordo](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/donkgordo) $69.42 $1,424 20.52x 2026-11-04 22:45 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $69.42 $1,424 20.52x 2026-11-04 17:30 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $69.42 $1,422 20.48x 2026-11-05 18:46 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [xitax](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/xitax) $69.42 $1,390 20.02x 2026-11-07 15:23 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $69.42 $1,390 20.02x 2026-11-07 12:44 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [xitax](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/xitax) $69.42 $1,332 19.19x 2026-11-10 18:17 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · gold · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [\[420\]\_sweetweed](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%5B420%5D_sweetweed) $69.42 $1,332 19.19x 2026-11-10 14:00 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=rain)

[AWP | Containment Breach weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach) [✦✦✦⛓ѕσвσ⛓✦✦✦](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9B%93%D1%95%CF%83%D0%B2%CF%83%E2%9B%93%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6) $69.42 $68.05 0.98x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[Sticker | Lorena sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lorena) [✦✦✦⛓ѕσвσ⛓✦✦✦](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9B%93%D1%95%CF%83%D0%B2%CF%83%E2%9B%93%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6) $69.42 $2.25 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[Sticker | Lorena sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lorena) [☆ EF | aytug](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%98%86%20EF%20%7C%20aytug) $69.42 $2.25 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) Hidden $69.42 $117 1.69x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [✦✦✦⛓ѕσвσ⛓✦✦✦](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9B%93%D1%95%CF%83%D0%B2%CF%83%E2%9B%93%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6) $69.42 $70.17 1.01x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[Sticker | Lorena sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lorena) Hidden $69.42 $2.36 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[Sticker | Lorena sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lorena) [✦✦✦⛓ѕσвσ⛓✦✦✦](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9B%93%D1%95%CF%83%D0%B2%CF%83%E2%9B%93%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6) $69.42 $2.36 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[AK-47 | Crane Flight weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight) [✦✦✦⛓ѕσвσ⛓✦✦✦](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9B%93%D1%95%CF%83%D0%B2%CF%83%E2%9B%93%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6%E2%9C%A6) $69.42 $14.23 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[Sticker | Lorena sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lorena) [☆ EF | aytug](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%98%86%20EF%20%7C%20aytug) $69.42 $2.36 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[Sticker | Lorena sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lorena) Hidden $69.42 $2.36 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $69.42 | 87.50% | 60 |
| 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $69.42 | 87.65% | 60 |
| 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $69.42 | 87.53% | 60 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $69.42 | 87.51% | 60 |
| 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $69.42 | 87.50% | 60 |
| 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $69.42 | 87.54% | 60 |
| 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $69.42 | 87.55% | 60 |
| 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $69.42 | 87.66% | 60 |
| 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $69.42 | 87.73% | 60 |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $69.42 | 87.23% | 60 |
| 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $69.42 | 87.24% | 60 |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $69.42 | 87.48% | 60 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $69.42 | 87.55% | 60 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $69.42 | 87.67% | 60 |
| 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $69.42 | 87.31% | 60 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $69.42 | 87.15% | 60 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $69.42 | 87.94% | 60 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% gold 5.3% covert 37.5% red 8.2% classified 1.6% pink 29.0% restricted 0.1% Classified 3.3% Legendary 2.5% violet 12.6% best hit $1,452 (20.92x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt