--- title: "RATS JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "RATS JOKER ($13.26) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.53% over 1,766 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rats-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T14:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [RATS JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rats-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · RATS JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rats-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rats-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rats-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rats-joker?window=all) Price · $13.26 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.53% · 1,766 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 168 openings · below min 7 days · 86.65% ±5.82 1,607 openings 30 days · 85.53% ±5.50 1,766 openings since tracking started · 85.53% ±5.50 1,766 openings 79.5% 108.3% 137.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rats-joker?window=24h) | 168 | 114.97% ±21.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rats-joker?window=7d) | 1,607 | 86.65% ±5.82 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rats-joker) | 1,766 | 85.53% ±5.50 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rats-joker?window=all) | 1,766 | 85.53% ±5.50 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=rats-joker) [AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) [Pièrre Sanchèz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Pi%C3%A8rre%20Sanch%C3%A8z) $12.91 $52.28 4.05x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [P2000 | Woodsman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-minimal-wear) [Em0Keee](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Em0Keee) $12.91 $26.00 2.01x 2026-11-11 10:48 UTC [MAC-10 | Last Dive weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive) [Em0Keee](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Em0Keee) $12.91 $1.59 0.12x 2026-11-11 10:48 UTC [Negev | dev\_texture weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture) [Em0Keee](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Em0Keee) $12.91 $0.52 0.04x 2026-11-11 10:48 UTC [MAC-10 | Aloha (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-minimal-wear) [Em0Keee](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Em0Keee) $12.91 $5.12 0.40x 2026-11-11 10:48 UTC [M4A4 | Turbine weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine) [SPinaCH=\_gt;](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SPinaCH%3D_gt%3B) $12.91 $1.39 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hydraulics-well-worn) Hidden $13.13 $2.60 0.20x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC [Sticker | Chrome Dome sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chrome-dome) Hidden $13.13 $2.84 0.22x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) Hidden $13.13 $54.24 4.13x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC [M4A4 | Turbine (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-well-worn) [SPinaCH=\_gt;](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SPinaCH%3D_gt%3B) $13.13 $1.37 0.10x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.53 on average: an expected loss of $14.47 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt