--- title: "RED SILK JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "RED SILK JOKER ($117.52) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.20% over 3,026 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/red-silk-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T19:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [RED SILK JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/red-silk-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · RED SILK JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/red-silk-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/red-silk-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/red-silk-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/red-silk-joker?window=all) Price · $117.52 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.20% · 3,026 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 563 openings · below min 7 days · 92.23% ±4.72 2,593 openings 30 days · 93.20% ±4.35 3,026 openings since tracking started · 93.20% ±4.35 3,026 openings 85.5% 96.8% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/red-silk-joker?window=24h) | 563 | 96.81% ±10.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/red-silk-joker?window=7d) | 2,593 | 92.23% ±4.72 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/red-silk-joker) | 3,026 | 93.20% ±4.35 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/red-silk-joker?window=all) | 3,026 | 93.20% ±4.35 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) [♛-EL GALII -♰](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%99%9B-EL%20GALII%20-%E2%99%B0) $116 $589 5.06x 2026-11-07 15:00 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) [Gunn.E](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Gunn.E) $116 $589 5.06x 2026-11-04 12:09 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) Hidden $116 $589 5.06x 2026-11-03 23:43 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) [-sexmode](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/-sexmode) $116 $589 5.06x 2026-11-03 21:46 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) Hidden $116 $589 5.06x 2026-11-03 21:29 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) Hidden $116 $589 5.06x 2026-11-03 21:29 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) [-sexmode](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/-sexmode) $116 $589 5.06x 2026-11-03 21:26 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) [-sexmode](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/-sexmode) $116 $589 5.06x 2026-11-03 21:26 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) [-sexmode](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/-sexmode) $116 $589 5.06x 2026-11-03 21:24 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) [-sexmode](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/-sexmode) $116 $589 5.06x 2026-11-03 21:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=red-silk-joker) [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) [Anton](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Anton) $116 $583 5.02x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-minimal-wear) [♛-EL GALII -♰](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%99%9B-EL%20GALII%20-%E2%99%B0) $116 $0.14 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-field-tested) Hidden $115 $144 1.26x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC [SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) Hidden $115 $0.57 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC [Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-field-tested) Hidden $115 $0.41 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC [MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-minimal-wear) [♛-EL GALII -♰](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E2%99%9B-EL%20GALII%20-%E2%99%B0) $115 $0.14 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-field-tested) [chema461](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/chema461) $116 $65.83 0.57x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-field-tested) [chema461](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/chema461) $115 $69.52 0.61x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-field-tested) Hidden $115 $48.34 0.42x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-minimal-wear) Hidden $115 $0.14 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $589 (5.06x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.20 on average: an expected loss of $6.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt