--- title: "ROCKET JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ROCKET JOKER ($596.96) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 55.14% over 157 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rocket-joker rendered: 2026-11-12T12:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ROCKET JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rocket-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ROCKET JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rocket-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rocket-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rocket-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rocket-joker?window=all) Price · $596.96 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 55.14% · 157 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 105 openings · below min 30 days · 157 openings · below min since tracking started · 157 openings · below min 18.0% 192.8% 367.5% **Small sample.** 157 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rocket-joker?window=24h) | 4 | 192.77% ±174.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rocket-joker?window=7d) | 105 | 64.92% ±22.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rocket-joker) | 157 | 55.14% ±16.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rocket-joker?window=all) | 157 | 55.14% ±16.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $597 $2,066 3.46x 2026-11-03 20:52 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $592 $2,060 3.48x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $592 $2,060 3.48x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $592 $2,060 3.48x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [BONUS CODE: ASLAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/BONUS%20CODE%3A%20ASLAN) $592 $2,060 3.48x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $592 $2,060 3.48x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $592 $2,060 3.48x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $592 $2,060 3.48x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $592 $2,060 3.48x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $592 $2,060 3.48x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=rocket-joker) [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Bronks](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Bronks) $579 $2,003 3.46x 2026-11-12 09:54 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $574 $387 0.68x 2026-11-12 09:51 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $574 $67.70 0.12x 2026-11-12 09:51 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Bronks](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Bronks) $574 $1,975 3.44x 2026-11-12 09:51 UTC [MP5-SD | Lime Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-lime-hex-field-tested) [Siyanur26](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Siyanur26) $579 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:27 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $579 $379 0.65x 2026-11-10 22:27 UTC [MP5-SD | Lime Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-lime-hex-field-tested) Hidden $579 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:27 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $579 $80.48 0.14x 2026-11-10 22:27 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $579 $80.48 0.14x 2026-11-10 22:27 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $579 $379 0.65x 2026-11-10 22:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,066 (3.46x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 55.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $55.14 on average: an expected loss of $44.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt