--- title: "SACRED LOTUS JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SACRED LOTUS JOKER ($1,593.25) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 108.65% over 432 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sacred-lotus-joker rendered: 2026-11-13T06:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [SACRED LOTUS JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sacred-lotus-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · SACRED LOTUS JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sacred-lotus-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sacred-lotus-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sacred-lotus-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sacred-lotus-joker?window=all) Price · $1,593.25 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 108.65% · 432 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 76 openings · below min 7 days · 342 openings · below min 30 days · 432 openings · below min since tracking started · 432 openings · below min 71.0% 103.3% 135.5% **Small sample.** 432 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sacred-lotus-joker?window=24h) | 76 | 103.35% ±31.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sacred-lotus-joker?window=7d) | 342 | 104.43% ±17.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sacred-lotus-joker) | 432 | 108.65% ±15.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sacred-lotus-joker?window=all) | 432 | 108.65% ±15.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [AnoN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/AnoN) $1,585 $9,986 6.30x 2026-11-08 18:22 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,585 $9,986 6.30x 2026-11-06 10:21 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $1,585 $9,986 6.30x 2026-11-04 21:11 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [fer](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/fer) $1,591 $9,986 6.28x 2026-11-03 21:00 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $1,591 $9,986 6.28x 2026-11-03 20:58 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $1,591 $9,986 6.28x 2026-11-03 20:58 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [fer](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/fer) $1,591 $9,986 6.28x 2026-11-03 20:58 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $1,574 $9,981 6.34x 2026-11-05 21:08 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $1,570 $9,950 6.34x 2026-11-06 10:20 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,570 $9,950 6.34x 2026-11-06 10:19 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=sacred-lotus-joker) [Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-factory-new) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,518 $6.98 0.00x 2026-11-13 05:23 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,518 $2,029 1.34x 2026-11-13 05:23 UTC [P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-lotus-imprint-minimal-wear) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,518 $10.65 0.01x 2026-11-13 05:23 UTC [AK-47 | Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,518 $84.51 0.06x 2026-11-13 05:23 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,518 $372 0.25x 2026-11-13 05:23 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,518 $1,381 0.91x 2026-11-13 05:22 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,518 $3,973 2.62x 2026-11-13 05:22 UTC [FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-well-worn) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,518 $54.98 0.04x 2026-11-13 05:22 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,518 $1,347 0.89x 2026-11-13 05:22 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,518 $3,973 2.62x 2026-11-13 05:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $9,986 (6.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 108.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $108.65 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt