--- title: "SUNBLAST JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SUNBLAST JOKER ($327.10) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.58% over 107 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sunblast-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T19:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [SUNBLAST JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sunblast-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · SUNBLAST JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sunblast-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sunblast-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sunblast-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sunblast-joker?window=all) Price · $327.10 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.58% · 107 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 15 openings · below min 7 days · 100 openings · below min 30 days · 107 openings · below min since tracking started · 107 openings · below min 29.0% 84.5% 140.0% **Small sample.** 107 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sunblast-joker?window=24h) | 15 | 84.55% ±54.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sunblast-joker?window=7d) | 100 | 82.02% ±25.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sunblast-joker) | 107 | 100.58% ±33.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sunblast-joker?window=all) | 107 | 100.58% ±33.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-battle-scarred) [Cow p90 master](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Cow%20p90%20master) $327 $2,680 8.19x 2026-11-03 10:19 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-battle-scarred) [Cow p90 master](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Cow%20p90%20master) $327 $2,680 8.19x 2026-11-03 10:18 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-battle-scarred) Hidden $327 $2,680 8.19x 2026-11-03 10:18 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-battle-scarred) Hidden $324 $2,671 8.24x 2026-11-05 03:06 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $324 $1,394 4.30x 2026-11-05 03:06 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $324 $1,394 4.30x 2026-11-05 03:06 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $321 $1,342 4.18x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $320 $1,332 4.17x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $320 $1,332 4.17x 2026-11-09 22:07 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [Train9](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Train9) $324 $887 2.74x 2026-11-05 03:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=sunblast-joker) [★ Sport Gloves | Big Game gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $320 $168 0.53x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-battle-scarred) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $321 $137 0.43x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) Hidden $321 $8.29 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $320 $405 1.27x 2026-11-11 16:13 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $321 $1,342 4.18x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $321 $401 1.25x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC [M4A1-S | Electrum weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $320 $3.29 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $320 $413 1.29x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $322 $1.43 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) Hidden $322 $46.42 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,680 (8.19x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.58 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt