--- title: "TEETH JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "TEETH JOKER ($10.19) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 72.12% over 2,894 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/teeth-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [TEETH JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/teeth-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · TEETH JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/teeth-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/teeth-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/teeth-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/teeth-joker?window=all) Price · $10.19 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 72.12% · 2,894 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 237 openings · below min 7 days · 69.66% ±10.99 2,652 openings 30 days · 72.12% ±10.86 2,894 openings since tracking started · 72.12% ±10.86 2,894 openings 31.0% 70.8% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/teeth-joker?window=24h) | 237 | 70.52% ±39.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/teeth-joker?window=7d) | 2,652 | 69.66% ±11.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/teeth-joker) | 2,894 | 72.12% ±10.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/teeth-joker?window=all) | 2,894 | 72.12% ±10.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=teeth-joker) [AWP | Pit Viper weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper) [Pièrre Sanchèz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Pi%C3%A8rre%20Sanch%C3%A8z) $9.81 $1.14 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [P250 | Valence weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence) [Pièrre Sanchèz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Pi%C3%A8rre%20Sanch%C3%A8z) $9.81 $0.39 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [Galil AR | Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) [Billi](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Billi) $9.81 $13.65 1.39x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) [TiltMachine](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/TiltMachine) $9.81 $9.64 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [P250 | Cyber Shell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.87 $0.44 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-field-tested) Hidden $9.87 $0.45 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [Galil AR | Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) [Billi](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Billi) $9.87 $14.00 1.42x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) [TiltMachine](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/TiltMachine) $9.87 $10.18 1.03x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [M4A4 | Turbine weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine) [TiltMachine](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/TiltMachine) $9.81 $1.32 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-factory-new) Hidden $9.87 $2.10 0.21x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 72.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.12 on average: an expected loss of $27.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt