--- title: "TICKET 1 case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "TICKET 1 ($0.55) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 11.34% over 5,169 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ticket-1 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [TICKET 1](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ticket-1) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · TICKET 1 A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ticket-1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ticket-1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ticket-1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ticket-1?window=all) Price · $0.55 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 11.34% · 5,169 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 628 openings · below min 7 days · 11.74% ±1.07 4,144 openings 30 days · 11.34% ±0.91 5,169 openings since tracking started · 11.34% ±0.91 5,169 openings 10.0% 17.5% 25.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ticket-1?window=24h) | 628 | 19.48% ±4.74 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ticket-1?window=7d) | 4,144 | 11.74% ±1.07 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ticket-1) | 5,169 | 11.34% ±0.91 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ticket-1?window=all) | 5,169 | 11.34% ±0.91 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=ticket-1) [FAMAS | Survivor Z (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-field-tested) Hidden $0.55 $0.44 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Galil AR | Acid Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-field-tested) Hidden $0.55 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-bordeux-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.55 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-field-tested) [Shompa](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Shompa) $0.55 $1.18 2.15x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [P250 | Copper Oxide (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-copper-oxide-field-tested) Hidden $0.55 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Galil AR | Acid Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-field-tested) Hidden $0.55 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [P250 | Copper Oxide (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-copper-oxide-field-tested) Hidden $0.55 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [P250 | Copper Oxide (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-copper-oxide-field-tested) [thales\_lw](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/thales_lw) $0.55 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Galil AR | Acid Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-field-tested) Hidden $0.55 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-bordeux-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.55 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 11.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $11.34 on average: an expected loss of $88.66 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt