--- title: "TRICKSTER JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "TRICKSTER JOKER ($198.17) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.21% over 1,493 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/trickster-2-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T20:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [TRICKSTER JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/trickster-2-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · TRICKSTER JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/trickster-2-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/trickster-2-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/trickster-2-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/trickster-2-joker?window=all) Price · $198.17 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.21% · 1,493 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 86.12% ±12.20 1,105 openings 30 days · 87.21% ±10.53 1,493 openings since tracking started · 87.21% ±10.53 1,493 openings 73.5% 86.3% 99.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/trickster-2-joker?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/trickster-2-joker?window=7d) | 1,105 | 86.12% ±12.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/trickster-2-joker) | 1,493 | 87.21% ±10.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/trickster-2-joker?window=all) | 1,493 | 87.21% ±10.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $199 $1,680 8.43x 2026-11-09 21:55 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $199 $1,680 8.43x 2026-11-09 21:55 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $199 $1,680 8.43x 2026-11-09 20:58 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $199 $1,680 8.43x 2026-11-09 20:58 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $199 $1,680 8.43x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [80k$ - CODE: SAJUCSGO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/80k%24%20-%20CODE%3A%20SAJUCSGO) $198 $1,664 8.41x 2026-11-08 23:12 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [80k$ - CODE: SAJUCSGO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/80k%24%20-%20CODE%3A%20SAJUCSGO) $198 $1,664 8.41x 2026-11-08 23:09 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [80k$ - CODE: SAJUCSGO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/80k%24%20-%20CODE%3A%20SAJUCSGO) $198 $1,664 8.41x 2026-11-08 23:09 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [80k$ - CODE: SAJUCSGO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/80k%24%20-%20CODE%3A%20SAJUCSGO) $198 $1,664 8.41x 2026-11-08 23:09 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [80k$ - CODE: SAJUCSGO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/80k%24%20-%20CODE%3A%20SAJUCSGO) $198 $1,664 8.41x 2026-11-06 23:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=trickster-2-joker) [G3SG1 | Orange Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-battle-scarred) [???????????????????????????? シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%20%E3%82%B7) $197 $4.79 0.02x 2026-11-10 07:10 UTC [P2000 | Woodsman (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-field-tested) Hidden $199 $19.80 0.10x 2026-11-10 07:09 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) Hidden $199 $22.80 0.11x 2026-11-10 07:09 UTC [G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-field-tested) Hidden $199 $3.88 0.02x 2026-11-10 07:09 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-battle-scarred) [???????????????????????????? シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%20%E3%82%B7) $199 $4.79 0.02x 2026-11-10 07:09 UTC [G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-field-tested) [???????????????????????????? シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%20%E3%82%B7) $197 $3.88 0.02x 2026-11-10 06:20 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $199 $251 1.26x 2026-11-10 06:19 UTC [PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Battle-Scarred) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-battle-scarred) Hidden $199 $4.39 0.02x 2026-11-10 06:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) Hidden $199 $8.53 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:19 UTC [G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-field-tested) [???????????????????????????? シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%20%E3%82%B7) $199 $3.88 0.02x 2026-11-10 06:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,680 (8.43x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.21 on average: an expected loss of $12.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt