--- title: "ZLASHY JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ZLASHY JOKER ($91.38) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.17% over 584 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T18:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ZLASHY JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ZLASHY JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy-joker?window=all) Price · $91.38 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.17% · 584 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 226 openings · below min 7 days · 432 openings · below min 30 days · 584 openings · below min since tracking started · 584 openings · below min 42.0% 71.7% 101.5% **Small sample.** 584 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy-joker?window=24h) | 226 | 64.73% ±21.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy-joker?window=7d) | 432 | 83.14% ±17.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy-joker) | 584 | 81.17% ±15.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy-joker?window=all) | 584 | 81.17% ±15.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $91.26 $809 8.86x 2026-11-03 09:44 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $91.26 $809 8.86x 2026-11-03 09:44 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Unreal.-](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Unreal.-) $91.06 $801 8.80x 2026-11-05 14:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $91.07 $801 8.80x 2026-11-04 11:54 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $91.07 $801 8.80x 2026-11-04 11:13 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $91.07 $801 8.80x 2026-11-04 11:12 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $91.64 $794 8.66x 2026-11-09 22:52 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $91.61 $794 8.67x 2026-11-09 22:48 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $91.61 $794 8.67x 2026-11-09 22:06 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $91.61 $794 8.67x 2026-11-09 21:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=zlashy-joker) [Sticker | Taste Buddy sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy) [kacper hehe. \[\*\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kacper%20hehe.%20%5B*%5D-76561198197837162) $91.64 $3.84 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:12 UTC [Sticker | Taste Buddy sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-taste-buddy) [kacper hehe. \[\*\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kacper%20hehe.%20%5B*%5D-76561198197837162) $90.09 $3.82 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $90.09 $775 8.60x 2026-11-11 17:10 UTC [Sticker | Chrome Dome sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chrome-dome) Hidden $90.09 $2.73 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:10 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-well-worn) [kacper hehe. \[\*\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kacper%20hehe.%20%5B*%5D-76561198197837162) $91.64 $5.27 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Sticker | Chrome Dome sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chrome-dome) Hidden $90.09 $2.73 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $90.09 $110 1.22x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $90.09 $775 8.60x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.09 $10.22 0.11x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.09 $10.22 0.11x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $809 (8.86x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.17 on average: an expected loss of $18.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt