--- title: "ZLASHY case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "ZLASHY ($5.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.10% over 4,255 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ZLASHY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ZLASHY A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy?window=all) Price · $5.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.10% · 4,255 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 439 openings · below min 7 days · 84.84% ±2.76 3,848 openings 30 days · 85.10% ±2.58 4,255 openings since tracking started · 85.10% ±2.58 4,255 openings 72.5% 80.5% 88.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy?window=24h) | 439 | 79.40% ±6.03 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy?window=7d) | 3,848 | 84.84% ±2.76 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy) | 4,255 | 85.10% ±2.58 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/zlashy?window=all) | 4,255 | 85.10% ±2.58 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=zlashy) [Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-quick-sand-battle-scarred) [Tiaguinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Tiaguinho) $5.00 $6.07 1.21x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [Sticker | Chrome Dome sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chrome-dome) [Tiaguinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Tiaguinho) $5.00 $2.87 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Sticker | Chrome Dome sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chrome-dome) [Tiaguinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Tiaguinho) $5.00 $2.87 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick) [Tiaguinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Tiaguinho) $5.00 $3.64 0.73x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 $1.22 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-quick-sand-battle-scarred) [Tiaguinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Tiaguinho) $5.00 $6.13 1.23x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-quick-sand-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 $6.13 1.23x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Sticker | Chrome Dome sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chrome-dome) [Tiaguinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Tiaguinho) $5.00 $2.72 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 $2.67 0.53x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Sticker | Chrome Dome sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chrome-dome) [Tiaguinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Tiaguinho) $5.00 $2.72 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.10 on average: an expected loss of $14.90 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt