--- title: "1% dream case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "1% dream ($281.78) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.84% over 6,094 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/1-dream rendered: 2026-11-11T15:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [1% dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/1-dream) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · 1% dream A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/1-dream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/1-dream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/1-dream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/1-dream?window=all) Price · $281.78 · 403 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.84% · 6,094 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 185.50% ±117.67 1,083 openings 7 days · 103.64% ±36.12 5,064 openings 30 days · 98.84% ±31.39 6,094 openings since tracking started · 98.84% ±31.39 6,094 openings 67.0% 185.5% 304.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/1-dream?window=24h) | 1,083 | 185.50% ±117.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/1-dream?window=7d) | 5,064 | 103.64% ±36.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/1-dream) | 6,094 | 98.84% ±31.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/1-dream?window=all) | 6,094 | 98.84% ±31.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $282 403 coins $105K 150,000 coins 372.6x 2026-11-11 02:25 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $282 403 coins $105K 150,000 coins 372.6x 2026-11-11 01:06 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $282 403 coins $105K 150,000 coins 372.6x 2026-11-06 22:56 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $282 403 coins $70K 100,000 coins 248.4x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $282 403 coins $70K 100,000 coins 248.4x 2026-11-08 07:57 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $282 403 coins $70K 100,000 coins 248.4x 2026-11-06 20:40 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) [Teus Deus](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Teus%20Deus) $282 403 coins $49K 70,000 coins 173.9x 2026-11-04 02:16 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) [Teus Deus](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Teus%20Deus) $282 403 coins $38.5K 55,000 coins 136.6x 2026-11-11 00:56 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) [TEEBEECS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/TEEBEECS) $282 403 coins $38.5K 55,000 coins 136.6x 2026-11-05 18:01 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) Hidden $282 403 coins $38.5K 55,000 coins 136.6x 2026-11-04 01:41 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=1-dream) [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $282 403 coins $4.18 5.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $282 403 coins $4.18 5.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $282 403 coins $4.18 5.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) [Hiccupplayz](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Hiccupplayz) $282 403 coins $4.18 5.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $282 403 coins $4.07 5.81 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $282 403 coins $4.07 5.81 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $282 403 coins $4.07 5.81 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) [Hiccupplayz](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Hiccupplayz) $282 403 coins $4.07 5.81 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $282 403 coins $4.07 5.81 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $282 403 coins $4.18 5.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $105K (372.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.84 on average: an expected loss of $1.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt