--- title: "5% Gems case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% Gems ($9.08) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.75% over 29.4K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/5-gems rendered: 2026-11-11T15:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [5% Gems](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/5-gems) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · 5% Gems A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/5-gems?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/5-gems?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/5-gems) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/5-gems?window=all) Price · $9.08 · 12.97 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.75% · 29.4K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.98% ±12.77 2,859 openings 7 days · 95.61% ±5.31 22.9K openings 30 days · 93.75% ±4.61 29.4K openings since tracking started · 93.75% ±4.61 29.4K openings 69.5% 85.5% 101.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/5-gems?window=24h) | 2,859 | 82.98% ±12.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/5-gems?window=7d) | 22.9K | 95.61% ±5.31 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/5-gems) | 29.4K | 93.75% ±4.61 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/5-gems?window=all) | 29.4K | 93.75% ±4.61 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $741 1,058 coins 81.56x 2026-11-10 05:03 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $741 1,058 coins 81.56x 2026-11-07 06:42 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $741 1,058 coins 81.56x 2026-11-02 23:05 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $555 793 coins 61.14x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $555 793 coins 61.14x 2026-11-09 13:33 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $555 793 coins 61.14x 2026-11-08 21:49 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Bill Hwang](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Bill%20Hwang) $9.08 12.97 coins $555 793 coins 61.14x 2026-11-08 15:00 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $555 793 coins 61.14x 2026-11-08 00:55 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $555 793 coins 61.14x 2026-11-07 19:59 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $555 793 coins 61.14x 2026-11-06 08:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=5-gems) [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) [CrispyX](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/CrispyX) $9.08 12.97 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $9.08 12.97 coins $2.88 4.11 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $741 (81.56x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.75 on average: an expected loss of $6.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt