--- title: "Access case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Access ($15.26) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.79% over 75.8K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/access rendered: 2026-11-11T13:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Access](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/access) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Access A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/access?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/access?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/access) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/access?window=all) Price · $15.26 · 21.8 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.79% · 75.8K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 96.72% ±23.34 10.8K openings 7 days · 87.05% ±9.63 58.2K openings 30 days · 85.79% ±8.15 75.8K openings since tracking started · 85.79% ±8.15 75.8K openings 72.5% 96.5% 120.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/access?window=24h) | 10.8K | 96.72% ±23.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/access?window=7d) | 58.2K | 87.05% ±9.63 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/access) | 75.8K | 85.79% ±8.15 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/access?window=all) | 75.8K | 85.79% ±8.15 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $9,193 13,133 coins 602.4x 2026-11-10 19:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $9,193 13,133 coins 602.4x 2026-11-07 10:24 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $9,193 13,133 coins 602.4x 2026-11-06 12:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [✮ShowTime | john wick](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%E2%9C%AEShowTime%20%7C%20john%20wick) $15.26 21.8 coins $9,193 13,133 coins 602.4x 2026-11-03 19:15 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $8,647 12,353 coins 566.7x 2026-11-10 00:26 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $8,647 12,353 coins 566.7x 2026-11-09 20:39 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $8,647 12,353 coins 566.7x 2026-11-09 14:39 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $8,647 12,353 coins 566.7x 2026-11-08 02:06 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $8,647 12,353 coins 566.7x 2026-11-08 00:43 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $8,647 12,353 coins 566.7x 2026-11-07 18:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=access) [Sticker | Clutch Or Kick sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutch-or-kick) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Clutch Or Kick sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutch-or-kick) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Clutch Or Kick sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutch-or-kick) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Clutch Or Kick sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutch-or-kick) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Clutch Or Kick sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutch-or-kick) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Clutch Or Kick sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutch-or-kick) [Storkentrooper](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Storkentrooper) $15.26 21.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Clutch Or Kick sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutch-or-kick) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Clutch Or Kick sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutch-or-kick) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Clutch Or Kick sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutch-or-kick) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Clutch Or Kick sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutch-or-kick) Hidden $15.26 21.8 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $9,193 (602.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.79 on average: an expected loss of $14.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt