--- title: "Ambush case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ambush ($36.76) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.33% over 2,182 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ambush rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Ambush](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ambush) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Ambush A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ambush?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ambush?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ambush) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ambush?window=all) Price · $36.76 · 52.52 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.33% · 2,182 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 155 openings · below min 7 days · 97.45% ±18.78 1,602 openings 30 days · 91.33% ±15.85 2,182 openings since tracking started · 91.33% ±15.85 2,182 openings 53.5% 93.0% 132.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ambush?window=24h) | 155 | 92.98% ±38.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ambush?window=7d) | 1,602 | 97.45% ±18.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ambush) | 2,182 | 91.33% ±15.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ambush?window=all) | 2,182 | 91.33% ±15.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $2,036 2,909 coins 55.39x 2026-11-10 11:28 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $2,036 2,909 coins 55.39x 2026-11-09 22:55 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $2,036 2,909 coins 55.39x 2026-11-05 10:15 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $2,036 2,909 coins 55.39x 2026-11-03 16:07 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $2,036 2,909 coins 55.39x 2026-11-03 00:01 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-factory-new) [glorbo frottodrillo](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/glorbo%20frottodrillo) $36.76 52.52 coins $1,741 2,487 coins 47.36x 2026-11-05 23:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-factory-new) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $1,741 2,487 coins 47.36x 2026-11-05 05:35 UTC [P250 | Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-factory-new) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $1,180 1,686 coins 32.11x 2026-11-06 03:27 UTC [P250 | Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-factory-new) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $1,180 1,686 coins 32.11x 2026-11-05 00:26 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-factory-new) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $959 1,370 coins 26.09x 2026-11-09 19:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=ambush) [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-green-marine-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $0.94 1.34 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-green-marine-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $0.94 1.34 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC [Negev | Bratatat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bratatat-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $2.80 4 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC [AUG | Surveillance (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-surveillance-well-worn) [LUFFFFYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUFFFFYYYYYY) $36.76 52.52 coins $1.61 2.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-green-marine-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $0.94 1.34 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [AUG | Surveillance (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-surveillance-well-worn) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $1.61 2.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $58.21 83.15 coins 1.58x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [Negev | Bratatat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bratatat-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $2.80 4 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [Negev | Bratatat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bratatat-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $2.80 4 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC [Negev | Bratatat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bratatat-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.76 52.52 coins $2.80 4 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,036 (55.39x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.33 on average: an expected loss of $8.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt