--- title: "Antique case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Antique ($137.42) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.26% over 1,605 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/antique rendered: 2026-11-11T16:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Antique](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/antique) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Antique A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/antique?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/antique?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/antique) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/antique?window=all) Price · $137.42 · 196 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.26% · 1,605 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 221 openings · below min 7 days · 80.96% ±12.98 1,375 openings 30 days · 78.26% ±11.51 1,605 openings since tracking started · 78.26% ±11.51 1,605 openings 36.0% 91.8% 147.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/antique?window=24h) | 221 | 91.70% ±55.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/antique?window=7d) | 1,375 | 80.96% ±13.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/antique) | 1,605 | 78.26% ±11.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/antique?window=all) | 1,605 | 78.26% ±11.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $137 196 coins $6,729 9,612 coins 48.96x 2026-11-10 19:17 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $137 196 coins $4,194 5,991 coins 30.52x 2026-11-10 20:34 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $137 196 coins $4,194 5,991 coins 30.52x 2026-11-05 13:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Tivuhwrldlovesbbc](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Tivuhwrldlovesbbc) $137 196 coins $2,172 3,103 coins 15.81x 2026-11-11 02:07 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Smabu](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Smabu) $137 196 coins $2,172 3,103 coins 15.81x 2026-11-10 01:02 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $137 196 coins $2,172 3,103 coins 15.81x 2026-11-08 16:03 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [niku](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/niku) $137 196 coins $2,172 3,103 coins 15.81x 2026-11-04 21:18 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) Hidden $137 196 coins $1,302 1,860 coins 9.48x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) Hidden $137 196 coins $1,302 1,860 coins 9.48x 2026-11-10 01:01 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) Hidden $137 196 coins $1,302 1,860 coins 9.48x 2026-11-09 22:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=antique) [Nova | Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-field-tested) Hidden $137 196 coins $5.35 7.65 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [Nova | Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-field-tested) Hidden $137 196 coins $5.35 7.65 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) [FybZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/FybZ) $137 196 coins $314 448 coins 2.28x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) Hidden $137 196 coins $1,302 1,860 coins 9.48x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Nova | Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-field-tested) Hidden $137 196 coins $5.35 7.65 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Nova | Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-field-tested) Hidden $137 196 coins $5.35 7.65 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Graphite (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-graphite-factory-new) Hidden $137 196 coins $337 482 coins 2.45x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Nova | Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-field-tested) Hidden $137 196 coins $5.35 7.65 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) [FybZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/FybZ) $137 196 coins $685 979 coins 4.99x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Nova | Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-field-tested) Hidden $137 196 coins $5.35 7.65 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,729 (48.96x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.26 on average: an expected loss of $21.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt