--- title: "Assassin case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Assassin ($363.42) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 69.90% over 88 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/assassin rendered: 2026-11-11T22:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Assassin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/assassin) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Assassin A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/assassin?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/assassin?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/assassin) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/assassin?window=all) Price · $363.42 · 519 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 69.90% · 88 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 78 openings · below min 30 days · 88 openings · below min since tracking started · 88 openings · below min 49.5% 77.8% 106.0% **Small sample.** 88 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/assassin?window=24h) | 8 | 77.88% ±27.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/assassin?window=7d) | 78 | 69.69% ±13.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/assassin) | 88 | 69.90% ±12.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/assassin?window=all) | 88 | 69.90% ±12.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $973 1,390 coins 2.68x 2026-11-10 22:52 UTC [★ Bayonet | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $973 1,390 coins 2.68x 2026-11-04 23:04 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $689 984 coins 1.89x 2026-11-10 22:52 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $689 984 coins 1.89x 2026-11-10 22:52 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $689 984 coins 1.89x 2026-11-10 22:52 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $689 984 coins 1.89x 2026-11-05 20:04 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $689 984 coins 1.89x 2026-11-04 18:57 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Night (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $500 715 coins 1.38x 2026-11-10 00:02 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Night (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $500 715 coins 1.38x 2026-11-10 00:02 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Night (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $500 715 coins 1.38x 2026-11-04 23:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=assassin) [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $363 519 coins $379 542 coins 1.04x 2026-11-11 00:22 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $363 519 coins $379 542 coins 1.04x 2026-11-11 00:22 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $389 556 coins 1.07x 2026-11-11 00:22 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $363 519 coins $63.52 90.74 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 00:22 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $363 519 coins $63.52 90.74 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 00:22 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $363 519 coins $231 330 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 00:22 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $363 519 coins $379 542 coins 1.04x 2026-11-11 00:22 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [Kick/TheGodMode](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Kick%2FTheGodMode) $363 519 coins $379 542 coins 1.04x 2026-11-11 00:22 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $363 519 coins $389 556 coins 1.07x 2026-11-10 22:52 UTC [★ Bayonet | Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-well-worn) Hidden $363 519 coins $214 306 coins 0.59x 2026-11-10 22:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $973 (2.68x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 69.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $69.90 on average: an expected loss of $30.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt