--- title: "Asylum case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Asylum ($280.74) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.29% over 2,703 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/asylum rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Asylum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/asylum) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Asylum A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/asylum?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/asylum?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/asylum) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/asylum?window=all) Price · $280.74 · 401 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.29% · 2,703 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 578 openings · below min 7 days · 89.08% ±14.71 2,303 openings 30 days · 88.29% ±13.38 2,703 openings since tracking started · 88.29% ±13.38 2,703 openings 44.0% 74.3% 104.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/asylum?window=24h) | 578 | 67.35% ±22.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/asylum?window=7d) | 2,303 | 89.08% ±14.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/asylum) | 2,703 | 88.29% ±13.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/asylum?window=all) | 2,703 | 88.29% ±13.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $281 401 coins $12.2K 17,424 coins 43.45x 2026-11-10 19:59 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $281 401 coins $12.2K 17,424 coins 43.45x 2026-11-10 10:23 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $281 401 coins $12.2K 17,424 coins 43.45x 2026-11-07 14:07 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $281 401 coins $12.2K 17,424 coins 43.45x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $281 401 coins $12.2K 17,424 coins 43.45x 2026-11-07 07:57 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $281 401 coins $12.2K 17,424 coins 43.45x 2026-11-06 12:13 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $281 401 coins $12.2K 17,424 coins 43.45x 2026-11-03 11:57 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [joonXO](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/joonXO) $281 401 coins $10.7K 15,267 coins 38.07x 2026-11-08 18:14 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $281 401 coins $10.7K 15,267 coins 38.07x 2026-11-08 05:16 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $281 401 coins $10.7K 15,267 coins 38.07x 2026-11-07 19:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=asylum) [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-battle-scarred) Hidden $281 401 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $281 401 coins $3,304 4,719 coins 11.77x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-factory-new) Hidden $281 401 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $281 401 coins $457 653 coins 1.63x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-battle-scarred) Hidden $281 401 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-battle-scarred) Hidden $281 401 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-factory-new) Hidden $281 401 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-factory-new) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bradbeloved) $281 401 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-factory-new) Hidden $281 401 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC [Dual Berettas | Contractor (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-contractor-factory-new) Hidden $281 401 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $12.2K (43.45x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.29 on average: an expected loss of $11.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt