--- title: "Aurora case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Aurora ($22.08) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.23% over 16.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aurora rendered: 2026-11-11T19:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Aurora](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aurora) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Aurora A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aurora?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aurora?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aurora) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aurora?window=all) Price · $22.08 · 31.54 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.23% · 16.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.02% ±21.05 1,527 openings 7 days · 89.20% ±7.15 13.1K openings 30 days · 86.23% ±6.22 16.3K openings since tracking started · 86.23% ±6.22 16.3K openings 63.5% 85.0% 106.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aurora?window=24h) | 1,527 | 85.02% ±21.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aurora?window=7d) | 13.1K | 89.20% ±7.15 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aurora) | 16.3K | 86.23% ±6.22 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/aurora?window=all) | 16.3K | 86.23% ±6.22 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) [rose-2fdbca](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/rose-2fdbca) $22.08 31.54 coins $1,624 2,320 coins 73.55x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $1,624 2,320 coins 73.55x 2026-11-08 22:18 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $1,624 2,320 coins 73.55x 2026-11-08 13:24 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $1,624 2,320 coins 73.55x 2026-11-08 12:56 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $1,624 2,320 coins 73.55x 2026-11-06 22:19 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $1,624 2,320 coins 73.55x 2026-11-05 23:30 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $1,624 2,320 coins 73.55x 2026-11-05 09:55 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $1,624 2,320 coins 73.55x 2026-11-04 19:43 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $1,624 2,320 coins 73.55x 2026-11-04 13:29 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $1,364 1,948 coins 61.76x 2026-11-11 08:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=aurora) [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) [❦ ℍ𝕖𝕟𝕥𝕒𝕚 ❦](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%E2%9D%A6%20%E2%84%8D%F0%9D%95%96%F0%9D%95%9F%F0%9D%95%A5%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9A%20%E2%9D%A6) $22.08 31.54 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $22.08 31.54 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,624 (73.55x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.23 on average: an expected loss of $13.77 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt