--- title: "Autograph case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Autograph ($78.86) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.81% over 1,467 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/autograph rendered: 2026-11-12T06:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Autograph](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/autograph) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Autograph A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/autograph?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/autograph?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/autograph) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/autograph?window=all) Price · $78.86 · 113 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.81% · 1,467 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 149 openings · below min 7 days · 998 openings · below min 30 days · 90.81% ±14.70 1,467 openings since tracking started · 90.81% ±14.70 1,467 openings 40.5% 73.5% 106.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/autograph?window=24h) | 149 | 72.67% ±31.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/autograph?window=7d) | 998 | 88.26% ±17.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/autograph) | 1,467 | 90.81% ±14.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/autograph?window=all) | 1,467 | 90.81% ±14.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $2,501 3,573 coins 31.72x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [Sticker | tarik (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tarik-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1,934 2,762 coins 24.52x 2026-11-03 20:01 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1,672 2,388 coins 21.20x 2026-11-10 16:42 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1,672 2,388 coins 21.20x 2026-11-09 00:34 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1,672 2,388 coins 21.20x 2026-11-07 03:33 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1,672 2,388 coins 21.20x 2026-11-06 08:32 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1,672 2,388 coins 21.20x 2026-11-05 20:05 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1,672 2,388 coins 21.20x 2026-11-04 16:38 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1,672 2,388 coins 21.20x 2026-11-04 13:16 UTC [Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1,672 2,388 coins 21.20x 2026-11-03 15:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=autograph) [Sticker | junior (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-junior-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $3.50 5 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [Berlin 2019 Returning Challengers Autograph Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/berlin-2019-returning-challengers-autograph-capsule) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1.02 1.45 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [Sticker | rain | Katowice 2019 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-katowice-2019) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1.43 2.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [Sticker | rain | Katowice 2019 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-katowice-2019) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1.43 2.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [Sticker | rain | Katowice 2019 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-katowice-2019) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1.43 2.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [Sticker | device (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-device-foil-krakow-2017) [LUL](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUL) $78.86 113 coins $39.97 57.1 coins 0.51x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [Sticker | junior (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-junior-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $3.50 5 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [Sticker | RpK (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rpk-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $53.91 77.01 coins 0.68x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [Sticker | rain | Katowice 2019 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-katowice-2019) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $1.43 2.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [Sticker | device (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-device-foil-krakow-2017) Hidden $78.86 113 coins $39.97 57.1 coins 0.51x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,501 (31.72x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.81 on average: an expected loss of $9.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt