--- title: "Avocado case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Avocado ($25.43) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.47% over 3,825 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/avocado rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Avocado](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/avocado) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Avocado A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/avocado?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/avocado?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/avocado) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/avocado?window=all) Price · $25.43 · 36.33 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.47% · 3,825 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 401 openings · below min 7 days · 82.57% ±11.68 3,058 openings 30 days · 81.47% ±10.05 3,825 openings since tracking started · 81.47% ±10.05 3,825 openings 61.0% 101.5% 142.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/avocado?window=24h) | 401 | 101.51% ±39.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/avocado?window=7d) | 3,058 | 82.57% ±11.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/avocado) | 3,825 | 81.47% ±10.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/avocado?window=all) | 3,825 | 81.47% ±10.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) [4erniqRicar](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/4erniqRicar) $25.43 36.33 coins $1,272 1,817 coins 50.01x 2026-11-06 09:24 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $1,223 1,747 coins 48.10x 2026-11-08 23:09 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Tr1c0](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Tr1c0) $25.43 36.33 coins $1,223 1,747 coins 48.10x 2026-11-07 11:22 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Fixedinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Fixedinho) $25.43 36.33 coins $935 1,336 coins 36.79x 2026-11-11 00:12 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $935 1,336 coins 36.79x 2026-11-10 14:27 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [❤️Pumba❤️Hakuna Matata](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8FPumba%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8FHakuna%20Matata) $25.43 36.33 coins $770 1,100 coins 30.29x 2026-11-11 11:08 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $770 1,100 coins 30.29x 2026-11-10 23:18 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $770 1,100 coins 30.29x 2026-11-06 23:45 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $770 1,100 coins 30.29x 2026-11-06 06:06 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $770 1,100 coins 30.29x 2026-11-04 16:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=avocado) [AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $305 436 coins 11.99x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $66.86 95.52 coins 2.63x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Powercore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-powercore-well-worn) [Headed](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Headed) $25.43 36.33 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [AK-47 | Green Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $39.00 55.71 coins 1.53x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.43 36.33 coins $3.57 5.1 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,272 (50.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.47 on average: an expected loss of $18.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt